Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds meet on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before making your selections.
Starting Pitchers to Watch
Philadelphia is expected to start Zack Wheeler, while Cincinnati is scheduled to counter with Andrew Abbott. Wheeler enters this matchup with an 8-1 record, a 2.36 ERA, a 0.94 WHIP, and 80.0 innings pitched. He has allowed 55 hits while striking out 84 batters, walking 20, and surrendering nine home runs. Abbott comes into the contest with a 5-4 record, a 3.88 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and 95.0 innings pitched. He has given up 92 hits, recorded 73 strikeouts, issued 45 walks, and allowed 15 home runs. Based strictly on the provided numbers, Philadelphia holds the edge in the starting pitching matchup.
Philadelphia Looks to Respond on the Road
The Phillies enter Tuesday night’s contest with a 50-40 overall record and a 25-19 record away from home. Philadelphia has won three of its last five games, recently defeating Kansas City once and Pittsburgh twice while recently losing to Kansas City and Pittsburgh. The Phillies have remained well above .500 despite splitting their recent stretch and will look to begin this series with a strong performance.
Philadelphia is batting .237 with 402 runs, 719 hits, and 120 home runs. The Phillies own a .303 on-base percentage and a .404 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 4.12 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .255. Philadelphia has issued 254 walks and recorded 872 strikeouts. The Phillies are 35-23 in night games.
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One of Philadelphia’s biggest strengths has been its ability to generate power while also missing bats on the mound. The Phillies lead this matchup with 120 home runs and 872 strikeouts, giving them advantages on both sides of the ball entering Tuesday’s game.
Cincinnati Returns Home Seeking Momentum
The Reds come into this matchup with a 41-48 overall record and a 20-24 mark at home. Cincinnati has won two of its last five games, recently defeating Baltimore and Milwaukee while recently losing twice to Baltimore and once to Milwaukee. The Reds have shown flashes of solid play, but they are still searching for greater consistency as they continue their homestand.
Cincinnati is batting .228 with 372 runs, 679 hits, and 107 home runs. The Reds have posted a .309 on-base percentage and a .388 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they own a 4.57 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .249. Cincinnati has issued 402 walks and recorded 715 strikeouts. The Reds are 21-30 in night games.
The Reds’ biggest challenge entering this contest has been run prevention. Cincinnati has the higher ERA, higher WHIP, and more walks than Philadelphia while also trailing in runs scored, hits, home runs, and strikeouts. Those statistical differences create a difficult matchup against one of the stronger overall clubs in this game.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick
- Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline
Philadelphia is my pick because the Phillies have the better overall record, stronger road record, and hold advantages across several major statistical categories. They have hit more home runs, recorded significantly more strikeouts, and also enter with the stronger starting pitcher based on the provided numbers. Those advantages make the Phillies the side I prefer.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I would take the under if the total is set at 8.5. Zack Wheeler enters with a 2.36 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP, while Philadelphia’s team ERA is also lower than Cincinnati’s. Although both clubs have shown home run power, I believe the pitching edge on Philadelphia’s side keeps scoring under control enough for this game to stay below the total.
Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Cincinnati Reds 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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