Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Philadelphia Phillies travel to face the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday, July 8, 2026, at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. First pitch is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, with coverage available on ESPN. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more game predictions.
Starting Pitchers Take the Mound
Philadelphia has not yet announced a starting pitcher for Wednesday’s matchup. Cincinnati is expected to start Chase Burns, who has been outstanding this season with a 10-1 record, a 2.40 ERA, and a 1.08 WHIP across 97.2 innings. Burns has allowed 74 hits while striking out 116 batters, walking 31, and surrendering 12 home runs. Cincinnati enters the game with a clear statistical advantage from the projected starting pitcher based on the numbers provided.
Philadelphia Looks to Regain Momentum
The Phillies enter Wednesday’s contest with a 50-41 overall record and a 25-20 road record. Philadelphia has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Phillies recently lost to Kansas City by scores of 15-1 and 5-2 after earning a 6-1 victory over the Royals. Earlier in the stretch, Philadelphia split a two-game set with Pittsburgh, falling 6-1 before responding with a 10-6 win. Although the recent results have been uneven, Philadelphia still owns the better overall record entering this matchup.
Philadelphia is batting .238 as a team while scoring 403 runs on 729 hits. The Phillies have hit 120 home runs with a .304 on-base percentage and a .404 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.25 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .258. Philadelphia has also recorded 877 strikeouts while issuing 259 walks.
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The biggest strength for Philadelphia has been its ability to generate power. The Phillies have produced 120 home runs this season while also leading this matchup in strikeouts by their pitching staff. Even after a difficult series against Kansas City, those season-long numbers continue to provide a solid foundation.
Cincinnati Tries to Build at Home
The Reds come into Wednesday’s game with a 41-48 overall record and a 20-24 home record. Cincinnati has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Reds recently defeated Baltimore 3-2 after dropping consecutive games to the Orioles by scores of 8-5 and 3-0. Before that series, Cincinnati earned a 7-2 victory over Milwaukee before falling to the Brewers 4-2.
Cincinnati owns a .228 team batting average while scoring 372 runs on 679 hits. The Reds have totaled 107 home runs with a .309 on-base percentage and a .388 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.57 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .249. Cincinnati has recorded 715 strikeouts while issuing 402 walks.
The biggest advantage for Cincinnati entering this contest is the projected starting pitcher. While the Reds trail Philadelphia in several season-long offensive and pitching categories, the starting pitching matchup favors Cincinnati based on the statistics provided. That gives the home club an opportunity to control the game from the opening innings.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Pick
- Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline
I’m backing Cincinnati on the moneyline. Philadelphia has the stronger overall season numbers, but Cincinnati holds the edge with the projected starting pitcher, who has compiled a 10-1 record with a 2.40 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP. With Philadelphia’s starter still undecided and the Reds getting the stronger performance from the mound based on the information provided, I like Cincinnati to win this matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I’m taking the under 8.5. Cincinnati’s projected starter enters with an excellent 2.40 ERA, and Philadelphia’s offense has scored only three runs over its last two games. While the Phillies have shown home run power throughout the season, I believe the strong numbers from Cincinnati’s starter will help keep the scoring below the total.
Final Score Prediction: Cincinnati Reds 4 – Philadelphia Phillies 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.
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