Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction for Thursday, August 13, 2026

The Philadelphia Phillies face the Minnesota Twins in the Field of Dreams Game on Thursday at 7:30 PM ET in Dyersville, Iowa. Philadelphia is 64-57, second in the NL East and 8.5 games behind Atlanta after Tuesday’s 2-0 loss to St. Louis. The Phillies are 2-3 over their last five. Minnesota is 59-62, third in the AL Central and 3.5 games behind Chicago after Tuesday’s 5-2 loss to Baltimore. The Twins are also 2-3 over their last five. Thursday opens the three-game series. Cash in a big winner with our free MLB picks.

Philadelphia Phillies Need to Rebound at the Plate

Philadelphia ranks 21st in MLB with a .238 batting average and has scored 534 runs with 149 home runs, a .309 on-base percentage and .399 slugging percentage. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 35 home runs and a .374 on-base percentage while adding 69 RBIs. Bryce Harper has 25 homers and a team-high 71 RBIs, while Brandon Marsh leads Philadelphia with a .274 average. The Phillies were shut out Tuesday but scored at least four runs in each of their previous four games.

Philadelphia ranks 18th in MLB pitching with a 4.20 ERA and 1.31 WHIP while opponents are batting .250. The Phillies have recorded 1,178 strikeouts, 31 saves, 15 shutouts and 51 quality starts. Their strikeout total ranks among baseball’s best, but Aaron Nola enters Thursday with numbers well above the team ERA. Philadelphia has allowed 25 runs across its last five games, including seven in consecutive contests against Toronto. The Phillies are 45-37 in night games.

Injuries: Rafael Marchan (10-Day IL), Caleb Kilian (15-Day IL), Tanner Banks (60-Day IL), Johan Rojas (60-Day IL), Adolis Garcia (60-Day IL).

Minnesota Twins Search for Better Results

Minnesota ranks 14th in MLB with a .244 batting average and has scored 564 runs with 143 home runs, a .319 on-base percentage and .405 slugging percentage. Josh Bell leads the Twins with 107 hits and 71 RBIs while batting .251 with 16 home runs. Luke Keaschall owns a team-best .265 average and .361 on-base percentage. Kody Clemens has supplied 20 home runs and 55 RBIs. Minnesota has scored 25 runs across its last five games but has lost three of those contests.

The Twins rank 26th in MLB pitching with a 4.59 ERA and 1.38 WHIP while opponents are batting .251. Minnesota has recorded 989 strikeouts, 33 saves, three shutouts and 43 quality starts. The staff has issued 437 walks and allowed 136 home runs. Taj Bradley has performed considerably better than those team numbers, entering Thursday with a 3.76 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Minnesota has allowed 24 runs over its last five games and owns a 35-35 record in night games.

Injuries: Zebby Matthews (Day-To-Day), Byron Buxton (10-Day IL), Joe Ryan (15-Day IL), Mike Paredes (60-Day IL), Mick Abel (60-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia Phillies – Aaron Nola

Nola is 3-9 with a 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP through 125 innings. The right-hander has allowed 138 hits, 43 walks and 29 home runs while striking out 129. The home-run total is particularly concerning against a Minnesota lineup with 143 homers.

Minnesota Twins – Taj Bradley

Bradley is 9-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.25 WHIP across 131.2 innings. He has allowed 109 hits, 55 walks, and 17 home runs while recording 148 strikeouts. Bradley owns clear advantages over Nola in ERA, WHIP, and home runs allowed.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Game Pick

• Minnesota Twins

Minnesota is the game pick because Bradley holds the stronger starting-pitching numbers and the Twins have the better season-long offensive profile. Bradley owns a 3.76 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, compared with Nola’s 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Minnesota also leads Philadelphia in batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and runs scored. The Phillies have more home runs, but Nola has surrendered 29 himself this season. With Bradley limiting hits more successfully, Minnesota is the better play Thursday night.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Over/Under Pick

• Over

The over is the total pick because Nola’s season numbers create a strong scoring opportunity for Minnesota, while the Twins’ pitching staff has also struggled overall. Nola carries a 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP and has surrendered 29 home runs in 125 innings. Minnesota owns a .405 slugging percentage with 143 homers. Philadelphia can answer against a Twins staff ranked 26th in MLB with a 4.59 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Those pitching numbers provide both offenses with enough opportunities for a higher-scoring game.