Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Monday June 22 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/22/2026, 12:35 AM ET

The Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals meet at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia on Monday, June 22, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 6:45 PM ET. The game will be televised on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers in Focus

Philadelphia has not announced a starting pitcher for this matchup. Washington is expected to send Foster Griffin to the mound. Griffin enters the game with a 7-2 record, a 3.32 ERA, and a 1.11 WHIP across 84.0 innings. He has allowed 70 hits while striking out 80 batters, issuing 23 walks, and surrendering 15 home runs.

Philadelphia Arrives After a High-Scoring Victory

The Phillies enter Monday's contest with a 41-35 overall record and a 19-16 mark on the road. Philadelphia has won three of its last five games, recently defeating New York and Miami twice. The Phillies also recently lost to New York and Miami during that stretch, but they come into this series after an impressive 15-3 victory in their most recent game.

Philadelphia has posted a .232 team batting average with 323 runs scored, 591 hits, and 97 home runs. The Phillies own a .300 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has produced a 4.09 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .257. Philadelphia pitchers have recorded 711 strikeouts while issuing 209 walks.

A key strength for Philadelphia has been its ability to generate power. The Phillies have hit 97 home runs this season, nearly matching Washington despite having significantly fewer hits and runs scored. Their pitching staff has also generated an impressive strikeout total, leading this matchup in that category.

Washington Looks to Defend Home Field

The Nationals enter this game with a 40-37 overall record and a 16-22 record at home. Washington has won three of its last five games, recently defeating Tampa Bay and Kansas City twice. The Nationals also suffered losses to Tampa Bay and Kansas City during that same stretch but have remained competitive while maintaining a winning overall record.

Washington owns a .247 batting average with 413 runs scored, 651 hits, and 100 home runs. The Nationals have compiled a .321 on-base percentage and a .422 slugging percentage. On the mound, Washington has produced a 4.64 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .257. The pitching staff has recorded 588 strikeouts and issued 277 walks.

The biggest advantage for Washington is its offensive production. The Nationals have scored 413 runs compared to Philadelphia's 323 and have collected 651 hits. Their higher batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage show a lineup that has consistently produced throughout the season.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pick

  • Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline

Washington enters this matchup with the better matchup predictor percentage and stronger offensive numbers across the board. The Nationals lead in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. While Philadelphia owns an advantage in strikeouts and overall pitching metrics, Washington's offensive consistency gives the Nationals a slight edge at home.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Total Pick

  • Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 9.0

I would lean toward the over if the total is set at 9.0. Washington has scored 413 runs this season and Philadelphia is coming off a game in which it scored 15 runs. Both clubs have hit at least 97 home runs, and each team has allowed opponents to hit .257. Those numbers point toward the potential for offensive production from both sides.

Final Score Prediction: Washington Nationals 6 – Philadelphia Phillies 5

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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