Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 24 2026
The Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals continue their series on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 PM ET, with coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Take the Mound in Washington
Philadelphia is expected to start Aaron Nola in this matchup. Nola enters with a 3-4 record, a 5.71 ERA, and a 1.48 WHIP across 75.2 innings. He has allowed 87 hits, struck out 77 batters, walked 25, and surrendered 15 home runs. Washington is scheduled to counter with Miles Mikolas, who comes into the game with a 2-6 record, a 5.47 ERA, and a 1.28 WHIP over 74.0 innings. He has allowed 78 hits, recorded 43 strikeouts, issued 17 walks, and given up 16 home runs.
Philadelphia Looking to Even the Series
The Phillies enter this contest with a 42-36 overall record and a 19-17 road record. Philadelphia has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Phillies recently defeated the Mets twice but also suffered losses to Washington, the Mets, and Miami during that stretch.
Philadelphia is batting .231 as a team with 330 runs scored, 604 hits, and 100 home runs. The Phillies own a .298 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.06 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP while recording 733 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .257 against Philadelphia this season. The Phillies are also 14-14 in day games.
The strength of Philadelphia has been its ability to generate strikeouts and hit for power. The Phillies have reached the 100-home-run mark and lead this matchup in strikeouts by a significant margin. Those numbers have helped them maintain a winning record despite some inconsistency over the last week.
Washington Continues to Produce Offense
The Nationals come into this matchup with a 41-38 overall record and a 17-22 home record. Washington has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Nationals recently defeated Philadelphia and Tampa Bay, while losses came against Tampa Bay twice and Kansas City.
Washington has been one of the better offensive teams in this matchup, batting .248 with 420 runs scored, 669 hits, and 103 home runs. The Nationals have also posted a .321 on-base percentage and a .423 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, Washington owns a 4.59 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP while recording 610 strikeouts. Opponents are hitting .256 against the Nationals.
The biggest strength for Washington is its offensive production. The Nationals hold advantages in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Those numbers explain why Washington has remained above .500 despite carrying a higher ERA than Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Picks and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pick
- Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline
Washington already picked up a win in this series and enters with the stronger offensive profile. The Nationals have scored 420 runs compared to Philadelphia’s 330 and hold advantages across most major hitting categories. While Philadelphia owns the better team ERA, Washington’s offensive production combined with the matchup predictor edge makes the Nationals the pick.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Total Pick
- Take the over if the total is set at 9.
I would lean toward the over if the number is set at 9. Both projected starters enter with ERAs above 5.40, and both have allowed at least 15 home runs this season. Washington has scored 420 runs and hit 103 home runs, while Philadelphia has also reached 100 home runs. The offensive numbers on both sides create a favorable setup for scoring.
Final Score Prediction: Washington Nationals 6 – Philadelphia Phillies 5
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.