Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 7 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/07/2026, 03:20 AM ET
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The Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves meet at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia, on Sunday, June 7, 2026, at 1:35 PM ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

The Pirates are expected to start Bubba Chandler, who is 2-6 with a 4.89 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 57.0 innings pitched, 48 hits allowed, 55 strikeouts, 38 walks, and 8 home runs allowed. The Braves are expected to start Bryce Elder, who is 5-3 with a 2.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 78.2 innings pitched, 62 hits allowed, 67 strikeouts, 23 walks, and 6 home runs allowed.

Pittsburgh Has Shown Road Competitiveness

The Pirates enter this matchup at 34-30 overall and 16-15 on the road. Pittsburgh recently lost to Atlanta 6-3, won over Houston 5-1, lost to Houston 11-9, won over Houston 10-6, and won over Minnesota 9-3. The Pirates have won three of their last five games.

Pittsburgh is batting .255 with 328 runs, 564 hits, 74 home runs, a .338 on-base percentage, and a .402 slugging percentage. The Pirates pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 230 walks, 586 strikeouts, and a .232 opponent batting average.

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The Pirates’ strength is contact and run production. Pittsburgh has the better batting average, more hits, and a higher on-base percentage than Atlanta. The concern is that the pitching numbers are not as strong as Atlanta’s.

Atlanta Owns the Stronger Record

The Braves come in at 43-21 overall and 20-11 at home. Atlanta recently won over Pittsburgh 6-3, lost to Toronto 7-2, won over Toronto 7-3, won over Toronto 4-3, and lost to Cincinnati 6-4. The Braves have three wins in their last five games.

Atlanta is batting .258 with 335 runs, 562 hits, 89 home runs, a .324 on-base percentage, and a .434 slugging percentage. The Braves have a 3.22 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 207 walks, 563 strikeouts, and a .217 opponent batting average.

The biggest advantage for Atlanta is balance. The Braves have more runs, more home runs, a better slugging percentage, a lower ERA, lower WHIP, and lower opponent batting average. That makes Atlanta the stronger statistical side.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

Atlanta is the pick because the Braves have the better overall record, better home record, stronger matchup predictor percentage, and superior pitching numbers. Pittsburgh has a strong offensive profile, but Atlanta’s combination of run production, power, and run prevention makes the Braves the better choice.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Total Pick

  • Pick: Over

Take the over if the total is set at 8.5. I lean over because Pittsburgh has recently been involved in games with totals of nine, 20, 16, and 12 runs, while Atlanta has scored six, seven, four, and four runs in four of its last five games. Both teams also rank well in runs scored.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Braves 6 – Pittsburgh Pirates 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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