Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Wednesday August 12 2026

The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the Miami Marlins on Wednesday evening at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 PM ET, with MLB.TV providing coverage. Pittsburgh enters the matchup at 58-62 overall and 28-32 on the road, while Miami is 60-59 overall and a strong 36-24 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Bettors looking for more baseball analysis can also check out free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Pittsburgh had not announced its starting pitcher for Wednesday's matchup at the time the information was released. Miami is expected to start Janson Junk, who enters at 5-7 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.36 WHIP across 81.2 innings. The right-hander has allowed 88 hits and 12 home runs while recording 62 strikeouts against 23 walks.

Pirates Look to Find Their Offense

Pittsburgh enters Wednesday at 58-62 overall and has gone 28-32 away from home. The Pirates have dropped four of their last five games, including an 11-1 loss to New York in their most recent completed contest. Their lone victory during that stretch was an impressive 9-0 shutout, but they scored three runs or fewer in three of the four defeats.

The Pirates have been productive over the full season, batting .256 with 602 runs, 1,064 hits and 145 home runs. Pittsburgh owns a .334 on-base percentage and .412 slugging percentage. Those figures give the Pirates an advantage over Miami in batting average, runs, hits, home runs, OBP and slugging percentage.

The concern is whether Pittsburgh can turn those season-long offensive advantages into production on the road. The Pirates have a losing road record, and their recent scoring has been inconsistent. Their offensive ceiling remains significant, but they need a much better performance than they produced in their most recent loss.

Marlins Have Been Strong in Miami

Miami enters this matchup at 60-59 overall and has performed particularly well at home with a 36-24 record. The Marlins have won two straight games entering Tuesday's action, scoring 19 combined runs in victories of 12-3 and 7-0. However, Miami is only 2-3 across its last five completed games.

The Marlins are batting .251 with 524 runs, 993 hits and 120 home runs while producing a .326 on-base percentage and .405 slugging percentage. Those offensive numbers trail Pittsburgh in every major category provided, but Miami's recent production and home record make the matchup considerably more competitive.

Miami also holds the pitching advantage at the team level. The Marlins own a 3.97 ERA and 1.25 WHIP while holding opponents to a .231 batting average. Pittsburgh carries a 4.34 ERA and 1.33 WHIP with opponents batting .242. That difference, combined with Miami's 36-24 home record, provides a strong counter to Pittsburgh's offensive edge.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction

Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline

Pittsburgh has the stronger season-long offensive profile, but Miami has several important advantages that make the Marlins the preferred side. Miami is 36-24 at home, owns the better team ERA and WHIP, and enters after consecutive convincing victories. Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five and has not yet announced its starter, adding another element of uncertainty. Take Miami on the moneyline.

Pick: Over 8.5

The Pirates have scored 602 runs with 145 home runs this season, while Miami has produced 19 runs across its last two completed games. Miami's expected starter carries a 4.63 ERA, and Pittsburgh's team ERA sits at 4.34. There is enough offensive potential on both sides to favor scoring if the market gives us a reasonable number. Take the over if the total is set at 8.5.

This game was completed prior to play on Tuesday.