Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels Prediction and Picks - September 25, 2025
The MLB is winding down this week with a matchup between the Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels. Look inside for our prediction and picks. The Kansas City Royals (79-79, 36-41 away) face off against the Los Angeles Angels (71-87, 38-39 home) in the rubber match of their three-game series at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California. The game is scheduled for 8:38 PM on September 25, 2025, with clear skies and a temperature of 66°F expected at game time. Kansas City will send right-hander Michael Lorenzen (6-11, 4.70 ERA) to the mound, while the Angels counter with rookie left-hander Mitch Farris (1-2, 6.52 ERA). The series is tied 1-1 after the Royals won the opener 8-4, but the Angels bounced back with a narrow 3-2 victory in Game 2.
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Royals Look to Finish Strong After Mixed Results
The Kansas City Royals enter this game with a .500 record (79-79) and sit third in the AL Central, seven games behind the division-leading Cleveland Guardians. In their last five games, the Royals have alternated between dominant wins and close losses. They opened their previous series against the Toronto Blue Jays with a stunning 20-1 victory but dropped two of the next three games, including an 8-5 loss in the finale. In this series against the Angels, Kansas City started strong with an 8-4 win but fell short in Game 2, losing 3-2 despite a solid pitching performance.
Offensively, the Royals are led by Vinnie Pasquantino, who has 31 home runs, 108 RBIs, and a .267 batting average. Bobby Witt Jr. has been another standout, hitting .291 with a .349 OBP and .498 SLG. As a team, Kansas City has a .247 batting average, ranks 19th in MLB in runs scored (626), and has hit 154 home runs. Their pitching staff has been a bright spot, with a team ERA of 3.75 (6th in MLB) and a WHIP of 1.25. However, injuries have been a concern, with key players like Bailey Falter, James McArthur, and Hunter Harvey on the injured list. Michael Lorenzen will take the mound for Kansas City. Lorenzen has struggled this season, posting a 6-11 record with a 4.70 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over 136 innings. He has allowed 23 home runs and struck out 118 batters while walking 39.
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Angels Aim to End Season on a High Note
The Los Angeles Angels, sitting fifth in the AL West with a 71-87 record, have had a disappointing season but are looking to finish strong. In their last five games, the Angels have gone 2-3, including a 3-0 shutout win over the Colorado Rockies and a 3-2 victory over the Royals in Game 2 of this series. Despite their struggles, the Angels have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their power-hitting.
Taylor Ward leads the Angels with 36 home runs and 103 RBIs, though his .228 batting average leaves room for improvement. Nolan Schanuel has been a consistent presence at the plate, hitting .267 with a .356 OBP. As a team, the Angels have a .226 batting average (28th in MLB) but rank 7th in home runs (220) and 14th in runs scored (662). Their pitching staff has been less reliable, with a 4.86 ERA (25th in MLB) and a 1.44 WHIP. Rookie Mitch Farris will start for the Angels. In limited action, Farris has a 1-2 record with a 6.52 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over 19.1 innings. He has struck out 19 batters but has struggled with control, issuing nine walks and allowing three home runs. The Angels are also dealing with several injuries, including Tyler Anderson, Travis d'Arnaud, and Jorge Soler, all of whom are on the injured list.
Royals vs. Angels Pick
Spread Pick for Royals vs. Angels
- Kansas City Royals -1.5 (5 Units)
The Royals have been a strong team against the run line as away underdogs, covering 62.9% of the time this season. They are 46-31 as the away team overall, with a +1.0 run line differential. Kansas City has also performed well after losses, covering 57.7% of the time. On the other hand, the Angels have struggled as home favorites, covering just 31% of the time. They are 41-36 as the home team but have a -0.8 run line differential. Recent trends favor the Royals, who have covered the run line in four of their last six games against the Angels. Given these trends, the Royals are a strong pick to cover the run line. Go with Kansas City!
Over/Under Pick for Royals vs. Angels
- Under 9 (5 units)
Both teams have been inconsistent with the over/under this season. The Royals have gone under the total in four of their last six games, while the Angels have gone under in five of their last seven. Kansas City games average 8.1 total runs, while Angels games average 9.3. The posted total of 9 seems high given the recent pitching performances and the Royals' strong bullpen. Additionally, the under has hit in five of the last seven meetings between these teams. The recommendation is to bet the under with confidence. Go UNDER and Good Luck!
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