San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 5, 2026
Use Code SSWC The San Diego Padres travel to Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California, for a Sunday night matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 PM ET, with coverage on NBC/Peacock. San Diego enters the game with a 43-44 overall record and a 20-23 mark on the road, while Los Angeles owns a 58-31 overall record and a 28-14 record at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Padres a 26.2 percent chance to win and the Dodgers a 73.8 percent chance. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
The Padres are expected to start JP Sears, who has a 1-1 record with a 6.97 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 10.1 innings. He has allowed 13 hits, struck out nine batters, walked five, and surrendered four home runs. The Dodgers are scheduled to counter with Emmet Sheehan, who enters with a 4-5 record, a 5.08 ERA, and a 1.27 WHIP across 72.2 innings. Sheehan has allowed 70 hits while striking out 81 batters, walking 22, and giving up 15 home runs. Sheehan has logged substantially more innings and strikeouts, while also carrying the lower ERA and WHIP into this matchup.
San Diego Searches for a Turnaround
The Padres enter Sunday with a 43-44 overall record and a 20-23 record away from home. San Diego has dropped each of its last five games, including consecutive losses to the Dodgers after being swept in a three-game series by the Cubs. Their most recent defeat was a 4-3 loss to Los Angeles, showing they have remained competitive despite the losing streak.
San Diego is batting .225 with 343 runs, 642 hits, and 93 home runs. The Padres own a .301 on-base percentage and a .375 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.25 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP, 315 walks, 711 strikeouts, and a .249 opponent batting average.
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The Padres’ biggest challenge has been generating offense consistently. Among the provided team statistics, San Diego trails Los Angeles in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Reversing those trends will be important if the Padres hope to avoid another defeat.
Los Angeles Continues to Set the Standard
The Dodgers come into this contest with a 58-31 overall record and an excellent 28-14 mark at Dodger Stadium. Los Angeles has won four of its last five games, including back-to-back victories over San Diego. Before opening this series with consecutive wins, the Dodgers won two games against the Athletics and had one loss.
Los Angeles is hitting .266 with 478 runs, 799 hits, and 121 home runs. The Dodgers own a .349 on-base percentage and a .444 slugging percentage. On the mound, they have recorded a 3.51 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP, 258 walks, 787 strikeouts, and an outstanding .216 opponent batting average.
The Dodgers’ greatest strength is their overall balance. They lead this matchup in virtually every major offensive category while also holding clear advantages in ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, walks, and opponent batting average. Those numbers help explain both their strong overall record and their dominant home performance.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline
The Dodgers are the clear choice based solely on the provided information. They own the better overall record, the stronger home record, the much higher matchup predictor percentage, and they have already won the first two games of the series. Los Angeles also holds advantages across nearly every offensive and pitching category, making the home team the stronger selection.
San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Total Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
I like the over if the total is set at 8.5. Both projected starters enter with ERAs above 5.00, and San Diego’s starter has a 6.97 ERA through 10.1 innings. The Dodgers have scored 478 runs and hit 121 home runs this season, while the first two games of the series have produced 19 and seven total runs. Based on the supplied statistics, I expect enough offense to push this matchup over the total.
Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 7 – San Diego Padres 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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