San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 5, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/05/2026, 12:50 AM ET
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The San Francisco Giants travel to Coors Field in Denver, Colorado, to take on the Colorado Rockies on Sunday, July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:00 PM ET with coverage on Peacock. San Francisco enters the matchup with a 36-51 overall record and an 18-29 road mark, while Colorado is 36-53 overall and 21-24 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Giants a 50.5 percent chance to win compared to 49.5 percent for the Rockies. Be sure to check out our free MLB picksโ .

Starting Pitchers

San Francisco is expected to send Tyler Mahle to the mound. Mahle is 1-8 with a 5.67 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 66.2 innings. He has allowed 69 hits, struck out 64 batters, walked 29, and surrendered 12 home runs. Colorado will counter with Tanner Gordon, who enters at 0-2 with a 6.69 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP across 40.1 innings. Gordon has allowed 56 hits, recorded 39 strikeouts, walked just eight batters, and given up seven home runs. Mahle owns the lower WHIP and has logged more innings and strikeouts, while Gordon has issued considerably fewer walks despite carrying the higher ERA.

San Francisco Searches for a Better Finish

The Giants come into Sundayโ€™s contest with a 36-51 overall record and are 18-29 on the road this season. San Francisco has gone 2-3 over its last five games, most recently suffering a 15-3 loss to Colorado. Before that defeat, the Giants earned a win over Arizona but also dropped consecutive games to the Diamondbacks before defeating Atlanta.

San Francisco has produced a .255 team batting average with 352 runs, 759 hits, and 94 home runs. The Giants own a .306 on-base percentage and a .417 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff carries a 4.50 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP, 333 walks, 671 strikeouts, and a .250 opponent batting average.

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The biggest strength for San Francisco is its ability to consistently put the ball in play. The Giants have the higher batting average, more hits, and a lower team ERA than Colorado. Those numbers give them a chance to rebound after their most recent loss.

Colorado Looks to Stay Hot at Home

The Rockies enter the matchup with a 36-53 overall record and a 21-24 mark at Coors Field. Colorado has won three of its last five games, including a dominant 15-3 victory over San Francisco. Prior to that, the Rockies earned consecutive wins over Miami before dropping back-to-back contests against the Marlins.

Colorado enters the game batting .258 with 432 runs, 782 hits, and 102 home runs. The Rockies have compiled a .329 on-base percentage and a .426 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 5.54 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP, 291 walks, 623 strikeouts, and a .287 opponent batting average.

Coloradoโ€™s biggest advantage comes from its offense. The Rockies lead this matchup in batting average, runs scored, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. If that production continues, Colorado has the ability to build on the momentum from Fridayโ€™s convincing win.

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Pick

  • Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline

Colorado gets the nod despite the slightly lower matchup predictor percentage. The Rockies have won the most recent meeting by a wide margin and hold advantages in nearly every major offensive category, including runs scored, batting average, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Those offensive numbers make Colorado the stronger selection in this matchup.

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 10.5

I like the over if the total is set at 10.5. Both projected starters enter with ERAs above 5.50, and Coloradoโ€™s pitching staff owns a 5.54 team ERA. The most recent game between these clubs finished with 18 total runs, and both offenses have shown they can produce plenty of hits. I expect another game with solid scoring opportunities.

Final Score Prediction: Colorado Rockies 7 โ€“ San Francisco Giants 5

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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