Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 11 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/11/2026, 04:00 AM ET
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The Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles meet on Thursday, June 11, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. First pitch is scheduled for 7:00 PM, with coverage available on ESPN and MLB.TV. The gametime weather is expected to be 89 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Highlight the Matchup

The Mariners are expected to start Bryan Woo, while the Orioles are scheduled to counter with Kyle Bradish. Woo enters the contest with a 5-4 record, a 3.74 ERA, and an excellent 1.00 WHIP across 77.0 innings. He has allowed 63 hits, struck out 75 batters, walked 14, and surrendered seven home runs. Bradish comes into the game with a 3-7 record, a 3.89 ERA, and a 1.51 WHIP over 69.1 innings. He has allowed 69 hits while recording 68 strikeouts, issuing 36 walks, and giving up eight home runs.

Seattle Building Momentum on the Road

The Mariners enter this matchup with a 36-32 overall record and a 17-16 road record. Seattle has gone 3-2 over its last five games and has won each of the first two games of this series. The Mariners recently won over Baltimore 6-5 in ten innings, recently won over Baltimore 6-3, recently lost to Detroit 5-4, recently won over Detroit 4-0, and recently lost to Detroit 7-3. That recent stretch has helped Seattle maintain its position above .500.

Seattle is batting .238 as a team with 290 runs, 541 hits, and 87 home runs. The Mariners own a .319 on-base percentage and a .399 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been a major strength, posting a 3.48 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP while holding opponents to a .240 batting average. Seattle has also recorded 585 strikeouts and issued only 177 walks.

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The biggest strength for Seattle is the combination of power and pitching. The Mariners have hit 87 home runs, which is more than Baltimore's 78, while also carrying a significantly lower ERA and WHIP. Those advantages have played a role in Seattle winning the first two games of this series.

Baltimore Searching for a Turnaround

The Orioles enter Thursday's contest with a 31-37 overall record and a 19-17 home record. Baltimore has dropped four consecutive games and has lost four of its last five overall. The Orioles recently lost to Seattle 6-5 in ten innings, recently lost to Seattle 6-3, recently lost to Toronto 6-4, recently lost to Toronto 6-4, and recently won over Toronto 13-3. The recent losing streak has created a challenging stretch for Baltimore as it tries to avoid another defeat at home.

Baltimore is batting .240 with 317 runs, 546 hits, and 78 home runs. The Orioles have a .321 on-base percentage and a .397 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.60 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .263. Baltimore has drawn 236 walks and recorded 522 strikeouts this season.

One positive for Baltimore is its offensive production. The Orioles have scored more runs and collected more hits than Seattle this season. However, the pitching numbers have been a concern, as Baltimore enters the game with the higher ERA, higher WHIP, and higher opponent batting average in this matchup.

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Pick

  • Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline

Seattle enters this game with the better overall record, stronger pitching numbers, and recent success in the series. The Mariners have won the first two games against Baltimore and hold advantages in ERA, WHIP, opponent batting average, and home run production. The matchup predictor favors Baltimore slightly, but the season-long pitching profile and current form point toward Seattle.

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Total Pick

  • Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 8.5.

I would lean toward the over if the total is set at 8.5 because the first two games of this series have produced 11 and 9 total runs. Baltimore has scored 317 runs this season, while Seattle has hit 87 home runs. With both teams capable of generating offense and Baltimore carrying a 4.60 ERA, there is enough evidence to support an over lean.

Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners 6 – Baltimore Orioles 4

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.

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