Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, July 29, 2026

The Seattle Mariners visit the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California, on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on MLB.TV. Seattle enters the matchup at 52-55 overall and 22-32 on the road, while Los Angeles is 67-39 overall with a strong 31-19 home record. ESPN Analytics gives the Dodgers a 64.1% chance of winning compared with 35.9% for the Mariners. The game-time temperature is listed at 81 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers for Seattle and Los Angeles

Seattle is scheduled to start Emerson Hancock, who enters Wednesday with a 6-4 record, a 3.16 ERA, and a 1.01 WHIP through 105.1 innings. Hancock has allowed 80 hits and 13 home runs while recording 97 strikeouts against 26 walks. Los Angeles counters with Eric Lauer, who owns a 5-5 record, a 4.83 ERA, and a 1.26 WHIP across 82 innings. Lauer has surrendered 75 hits and 20 home runs while collecting 52 strikeouts and issuing 28 walks. Seattle’s starter owns the better record, lower ERA, and lower WHIP. He has also completed 23.1 more innings, recorded 45 more strikeouts, issued two fewer walks, and allowed seven fewer home runs.

Seattle Seeks a Road Turnaround Behind Its Starter

The Mariners enter Wednesday with a 52-55 overall record and have struggled away from home, going 22-32 on the road. Seattle has lost four of its last five games, including a 7-3 defeat against Texas in its latest contest. The Mariners also fell to Texas by scores of 7-1 and 5-4 after suffering a 5-3 loss against Cincinnati. Their only victory during this stretch was a 6-4 win over Texas. Seattle has allowed at least five runs in four of its last five games.

Seattle is batting .230 as a team with 429 runs, 815 hits, and 124 home runs. The Mariners have produced a .309 on-base percentage and a .377 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff carries a 3.68 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP while allowing opposing batters to hit .240. Seattle pitchers have recorded 913 strikeouts and issued 264 walks. The Mariners have compiled a 30-37 record in night games.

The Mariners’ strongest argument comes from the starting-pitching matchup. Seattle’s scheduled starter leads his opponent in record, ERA, WHIP, innings, strikeouts, walks, and home runs allowed. The Mariners also own respectable overall pitching numbers, but they trail Los Angeles in team ERA, WHIP, opponent batting average, and strikeouts. Their greatest concern is an offense that ranks behind the Dodgers in every supplied category.

Los Angeles Brings a Powerful Statistical Edge Home

The Dodgers enter this matchup at 67-39 overall and have played well at Dodger Stadium, where they own a 31-19 record. Los Angeles has won four of its last five games. The Dodgers defeated the Mets by scores of 4-3 and 4-2 after earning victories of 9-5 and 2-1 over Philadelphia. Their only loss during the supplied stretch was an 8-3 defeat against the Mets. Los Angeles has held its opponent to three runs or fewer in four of its last five games.

Los Angeles is batting .260 as a team with 546 runs, 928 hits, and 136 home runs. The Dodgers have registered a .340 on-base percentage and a .431 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff enters with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP while limiting opposing batters to a .215 average. Los Angeles pitchers have accumulated 950 strikeouts while issuing 322 walks. The Dodgers have produced an impressive 52-28 record in night games.

The Dodgers’ clearest advantage is their complete team profile. Los Angeles leads Seattle in batting average, runs, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Dodgers have scored 117 more runs and collected 113 more hits while batting 30 points higher. Los Angeles also owns the lower ERA and WHIP, the better opponent batting average, and 37 more strikeouts. Seattle has issued 58 fewer walks, but the broader statistical comparison strongly favors the home team.

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Prediction

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick

• Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Los Angeles is the selection because it owns the stronger overall, home, recent, and night-game records while receiving a 64.1% win probability from ESPN Analytics. The Dodgers lead Seattle in every supplied offensive category and also hold advantages in team ERA, WHIP, opponent batting average, and strikeouts. Seattle has a clear edge in the starting-pitching comparison, but its 22-32 road record and four losses over its last five games make it difficult to back against a Los Angeles club that has won four of five.

Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Total Pick

• Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.

I would take the under at 8.5 because Los Angeles has held opponents to three runs or fewer in four of its last five games, with three of those contests finishing with seven or fewer combined runs. Seattle’s scheduled starter owns a 3.16 ERA and 1.01 WHIP through 105.1 innings, while the Dodgers carry a 3.58 team ERA and have held opponents to a .215 batting average. Seattle’s recent run prevention creates some concern, but its offensive numbers and the starting matchup support a moderate final score.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 – Seattle Mariners 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.