Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Thursday, August 13, 2026

The Seattle Mariners visit the New York Yankees on Thursday at 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. Seattle is 56-64, third in the AL West and 4.5 games behind Houston after Tuesday’s 4-1 loss to New York. The Mariners have lost five straight. New York is 67-52, second in the AL East and six games behind Tampa Bay after winning three of its last five. The Yankees lead the series 1-0 entering Wednesday. Build your bankroll with our free MLB picks.

Seattle Mariners Searching for Offense

Seattle ranks 29th in MLB with a .228 batting average and has scored 463 runs with 138 home runs, a .307 on-base percentage and .374 slugging percentage. Randy Arozarena leads the Mariners with a .276 average and .368 on-base percentage while adding 15 home runs, 50 RBIs and 20 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez has a team-high 18 homers with 51 RBIs, while Cole Young leads Seattle with 115 hits and 52 RBIs. Seattle has scored only five runs during its four most recent losses.

The Mariners have been much stronger on the mound, ranking eighth in MLB with a 3.78 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Opponents are batting .244, and Seattle has recorded 1,010 strikeouts, 26 saves and 54 quality starts. The Mariners are 23-35 away from home and 24-20 in day games. Injuries: Gabe Speier (Day-To-Day), Josh Naylor (Day-To-Day), J.P. Crawford (10-Day IL), Carlos Vargas (60-Day IL), Will Wilson (60-Day IL).

New York Yankees Relying on Strong Pitching

New York ranks 28th in MLB with a .230 batting average but has produced 535 runs and 167 home runs. Ben Rice leads the Yankees with 32 homers, 75 RBIs and 108 hits while batting .255 with a .349 on-base percentage. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 17 home runs and 31 stolen bases, while Paul Goldschmidt has added 16 homers. Injuries have removed several important hitters, including Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cody Bellinger, leaving New York without three established power options.

Pitching has carried the Yankees, who rank first in MLB with a 3.30 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. New York has held opponents to a .225 batting average while recording 1,065 strikeouts, 33 saves, 12 shutouts and 48 quality starts. The Yankees are 30-26 at home and 23-19 in day games. 

Injuries: Kervin Castro (15-Day IL), Carlos Rodon (15-Day IL), Giancarlo Stanton (10-Day IL), Aaron Judge (60-Day IL), Cody Bellinger (10-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

Seattle Mariners – Logan Gilbert

Gilbert is 8-7 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.00 WHIP through 139.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed 107 hits, 32 walks and 19 home runs while striking out 145. Gilbert’s low WHIP and strong strikeout total give Seattle a reliable starter against a depleted Yankees lineup.

New York Yankees – Max Fried

Fried enters at 4-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.97 WHIP across 81.1 innings. The left-hander has allowed only 54 hits, 25 walks and one home run while recording 75 strikeouts. Fried owns the advantage in both ERA and WHIP, setting up a strong matchup between two starters who have limited baserunners.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Game Pick

• New York Yankees

New York is the pick behind Fried and a pitching staff that ranks first in MLB with a 3.30 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. The Yankees have also won three of five, while Seattle has dropped five straight and scored only five runs across its last four losses. Gilbert gives the Mariners a strong chance to stay close, but Seattle is just 23-35 away from home. Even with Judge, Stanton and Bellinger unavailable, New York’s pitching advantage makes the Yankees the play Thursday.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Over/Under Pick

• Under

The under is the preferred play because Thursday pairs two starters with excellent baserunner numbers against offenses ranked near the bottom of MLB in batting average. Fried owns a 2.88 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, while Gilbert carries a 3.42 ERA and 1.00 WHIP with 145 strikeouts. Seattle has scored just five runs during its last four games, and New York is missing Judge, Stanton, and Bellinger. With the Yankees also leading MLB in team ERA, the pitching numbers strongly support a lower-scoring game.