Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 11 2026

The Seattle Mariners travel to Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York, to face the New York Yankees on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET with coverage on MLB.TV and TBS. Seattle enters at 56-63 overall and 23-34 on the road, while New York is 66-52 overall and 29-26 at home. The Yankees lead the season series 2-1 after taking two of three in Seattle earlier this year. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Check out our free MLB picks for more predictions from Tuesday's MLB schedule.

Starting Pitchers

Bryan Woo is scheduled to start for Seattle with an 8-8 record, 4.31 ERA and 1.12 WHIP through 127.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed 115 hits and only 27 walks while striking out 127 and surrendering 13 home runs. New York counters with Ryan Weathers, who is 5-7 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.22 WHIP across 121.0 innings. The left-hander has allowed 114 hits, 34 walks and 17 home runs while recording 132 strikeouts. Weathers has the advantage in ERA, while Woo has produced the better WHIP and has allowed fewer walks and home runs.

Mariners Search for an Offensive Spark

Seattle arrives in New York at 56-63 overall and has struggled away from home with a 23-34 road record. The Mariners have lost four straight and four of their last five, including a three-game sweep at the hands of Tampa Bay. Seattle scored only four total runs in those three losses and was also shut out 11-0 by Detroit before beginning the series against the Rays.

The Mariners are batting just .229 with a .308 on-base percentage and .375 slugging percentage this season. Seattle has scored 462 runs while collecting 899 hits and hitting 137 home runs. Pitching has been the stronger part of the team, with the Mariners posting a 3.78 ERA and 1.20 WHIP while opponents are batting .244.

Seattle's biggest problem entering Tuesday is its lack of consistent offense. The Mariners have scored only four runs during their current four-game losing streak, and their 462 season runs are well behind New York's 531. Woo's 1.12 WHIP gives Seattle a chance to stay competitive, but the offense will need to improve considerably to take advantage.

Yankees Have the Pitching Edge

New York enters this matchup at 66-52 overall and 29-26 at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have won three of their last five games, although they are coming off a 2-1 extra-inning loss to Atlanta. Four of New York's last five games have been decided by two runs or fewer, with the Yankees holding opponents to three runs or fewer in four of those contests.

The Yankees are batting .230 with a .309 on-base percentage and .411 slugging percentage. New York has scored 531 runs, collected 900 hits and hit 167 home runs. The Yankees have been significantly stronger on the mound, producing a 3.30 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP while holding opponents to a .225 batting average.

New York's pitching is the clearest difference between these clubs. The Yankees have the better team ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average, and Weathers brings a solid 3.79 ERA into the opener. New York has also shown considerably more power with 167 home runs compared with Seattle's 137, giving the Yankees another potential advantage in a game that could be decided by a few key swings.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction

Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

New York is the preferred side with Seattle arriving on a four-game losing streak and struggling badly at the plate. The Mariners have scored only four runs during those four losses and are just 23-34 on the road, while the Yankees have won three of their last five. Weathers owns the better ERA at 3.79 compared with Woo's 4.31, and New York has substantial season-long pitching advantages with a 3.30 ERA and .225 opponent batting average. Seattle's pitching should keep this competitive, but the Yankees have more power and the more reliable offense. Take the New York Yankees on the moneyline.

Total Pick: Under 8.5

The Under 8.5 is the better total position based on the way both teams have been playing. Seattle has scored just four runs over its last four games, while New York's pitching staff has allowed three runs or fewer in four consecutive contests. The Yankees' last five games have produced totals of three, nine, five, four and two runs, and Seattle's three-game series against Tampa Bay produced only five, five and three combined runs. With Weathers carrying a 3.79 ERA, Woo sporting a strong 1.12 WHIP and both pitching staffs outperforming their respective offenses, take the Under 8.5 if that number is available.

This Preview was completed prior to the completion of game play on Monday.