Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Wednesday August 12 2026

The Seattle Mariners will face the New York Yankees on Wednesday night at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. First pitch is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, with ESPN providing coverage. Seattle enters the matchup at 56-63 overall and 23-34 on the road, while New York is 66-52 overall and 29-26 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Bettors looking for more baseball analysis can also check out free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

Seattle is expected to start Bryce Miller, who enters at 4-6 with a 3.08 ERA and 0.95 WHIP across 79 innings. Miller has allowed 60 hits and 13 home runs while striking out 79 and walking only 15. New York is expected to counter with Will Warren, who comes in at 8-6 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.37 WHIP through 114 innings. Warren has allowed 119 hits and 15 home runs while recording 114 strikeouts against 37 walks.

Mariners Need to Stop the Slide

Seattle enters Wednesday at 56-63 and has lost four straight games. The Mariners dropped three consecutive games against Tampa Bay before Tuesday's series opener in New York, and their only victory across the last five completed games came in a 4-2 win over Detroit. Seattle has also struggled away from home with a 23-34 road record.

The Mariners are batting .229 with 462 runs, 899 hits and 137 home runs. Seattle owns a .308 on-base percentage and .375 slugging percentage. Those numbers reflect an offense that has had trouble creating consistent pressure, especially during the recent losing streak.

Seattle's pitching staff has performed much better than its offense, carrying a 3.78 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Opponents are batting .244 against the Mariners. The pitching profile gives Seattle a chance to stay competitive, but the offense needs to provide more support than it has recently.

Yankees Hold the Stronger Overall Profile

New York comes into the matchup at 66-52 overall and has gone 3-2 over its last five completed games. The Yankees have been solid at home with a 29-26 record and have remained firmly above .500 despite some inconsistent recent results.

The Yankees are batting .230 with 531 runs, 900 hits and 167 home runs while producing a .309 on-base percentage and .411 slugging percentage. The batting averages are nearly identical between these teams, but New York has a clear advantage in power and total run production.

The Yankees also own the better team pitching numbers with a 3.30 ERA and 1.18 WHIP while holding opponents to a .225 batting average. That gives New York a stronger overall statistical balance, particularly when combined with its sizable advantage in home runs.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction

Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

Seattle has the better starting-pitcher numbers, but New York holds the edge in the larger team profile. The Yankees have the stronger record, better team ERA, better opponent batting average and a 30-home-run advantage offensively. Seattle has also dropped four straight and owns a poor 23-34 road record. Take the Yankees on the moneyline.

Pick: Under 8.0

Both pitching staffs have been effective over the full season, with New York posting a 3.30 ERA and Seattle sitting at 3.78. Seattle has also scored only four total runs across its last four completed games, which creates a difficult setup for an over unless New York does most of the work. With the stronger starter numbers on Seattle's side and the better overall staff on New York's side, take the under if the total is set at 8.0.

This game was completed prior to play on Tuesday.