Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 25 2026
Use Code SSWC The Seattle Mariners travel to face the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, on Thursday, June 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 PM with coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Take Center Stage in Pittsburgh
Seattle is scheduled to start Bryce Miller, who enters the game with a 3-1 record, a sparkling 1.58 ERA, and an outstanding 0.70 WHIP across 40.0 innings. He has allowed just 23 hits while striking out 43 batters, walking only five, and surrendering five home runs. Pittsburgh is expected to counter with Bubba Chandler, who owns a 2-7 record with a 4.62 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 74.0 innings. He has allowed 59 hits, struck out 69 batters, walked 43, and given up nine home runs. Based strictly on the numbers provided, Seattle holds a significant edge in the starting pitching matchup.
Mariners Looking to Continue Recent Success
Seattle enters this contest with a 41-39 overall record and a 19-20 mark on the road. The Mariners have won three of their last five games, including a 3-2 victory over Pittsburgh in the opener of this series. Seattle also recently won over Boston and Baltimore while suffering two losses against Boston.
The Mariners are batting .232 as a team with 329 runs scored, 614 hits, and 100 home runs. Seattle owns a .312 on-base percentage and a .388 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Mariners have been strong with a 3.59 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, 205 walks, 702 strikeouts, and a .239 opponent batting average. They have also posted a 17-13 record in day games.
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The biggest strength for Seattle is clearly its pitching staff. The Mariners have the better ERA and WHIP in this matchup while also generating a high strikeout total. Those numbers have helped keep them competitive throughout the season, even with a team batting average that trails Pittsburgh.
Pirates Hoping to Defend Home Field
Pittsburgh comes into Thursday's matchup with a 39-40 overall record and an even 20-20 record at home. The Pirates have split their last five games, recently defeating Colorado and the Athletics while dropping games to Seattle and Colorado. Their most recent contest resulted in a narrow 3-2 loss against the Mariners.
The Pirates have been productive offensively, batting .255 as a team with 393 runs, 697 hits, and 94 home runs. Pittsburgh owns a .334 on-base percentage and a .408 slugging percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.16 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP while recording 720 strikeouts and allowing opponents to hit .236 against them. The Pirates have also compiled a 19-15 record in day games.
One area where Pittsburgh stands out is offensive production. The Pirates have scored considerably more runs than Seattle while also posting higher batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage marks. If Pittsburgh can take advantage of those offensive strengths, it could offset Seattle's advantage on the mound.
Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction
Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
- Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline
Seattle enters this game with the better overall record and a major advantage in the starting pitching matchup. The Mariners also won the previous meeting in this series and possess stronger overall pitching numbers as a team. While Pittsburgh has been the better offensive club statistically, Seattle's edge on the mound makes the visitors the preferred side.
Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Total Pick
- Take the under if the total is set at 8.0.
I would lean under if the total is set at 8.0 because Seattle brings one of the stronger pitching profiles into the matchup. The Mariners own a 3.59 team ERA, and their starter has posted exceptional numbers. With the previous game in this series finishing 3-2, there is evidence that runs may be difficult to come by.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners 4 – Pittsburgh Pirates 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.
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