St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Wednesday July 1 2026

The St. Louis Cardinals travel to Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia, on Wednesday, July 1, 2026, to face the Atlanta Braves. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers for St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves

Michael McGreevy is the scheduled starter for St. Louis. He enters with a 3-6 record, a 3.12 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and 89.1 innings pitched. He has allowed 81 hits, struck out 57 batters, walked 21, and surrendered 12 home runs. Reynaldo Lopez is expected to start for Atlanta with a 3-1 record, a 3.47 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and 46.2 innings pitched. He has allowed 43 hits, recorded 40 strikeouts, walked 21, and given up six home runs.

St. Louis Tries to Regain Its Form on the Road

The Cardinals come into this matchup with a 43-38 overall record and a 20-17 road record. St. Louis recently defeated Miami 2-1 after dropping four straight games. During that stretch, the Cardinals lost 5-1 and 4-0 to Miami after falling 9-4 and 4-3 to Arizona. They have gone 1-4 over their last five games entering Wednesday’s contest.

St. Louis has compiled a .246 batting average while scoring 362 runs on 670 hits. The Cardinals have hit 89 home runs with a .324 on-base percentage and a .393 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.26 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP, has issued 269 walks, recorded 606 strikeouts, and has allowed opponents to bat .256. The Cardinals are 28-20 in night games.

One positive for St. Louis is its ability to reach base consistently. The Cardinals own a .324 on-base percentage, which is higher than Atlanta’s mark. Even with a difficult recent stretch, that ability to generate baserunners gives them an opportunity to stay competitive.

Atlanta Returns Home Looking for a Better Result

The Braves enter this game with a 49-33 overall record and a strong 24-14 home record. Atlanta has dropped four of its last five games, recently losing 3-2 and 5-0 to San Francisco after earning a 3-1 victory. Before that, the Braves fell 5-2 and 7-6 in 10 innings to San Diego. Their recent record stands at 1-4 over the last five contests.

Atlanta enters the matchup batting .248 with 390 runs, 689 hits, and 103 home runs. The Braves own a .311 on-base percentage and a .409 slugging percentage. On the mound, Atlanta has produced a 3.41 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP, issued 271 walks, recorded 706 strikeouts, and held opponents to a .226 batting average. The Braves are also 36-21 in night games.

Atlanta’s biggest strength is its pitching staff. The Braves have the lower ERA, the lower WHIP, the higher strikeout total, and the better opponent batting average compared to St. Louis. Those numbers have been a major factor in Atlanta maintaining one of the stronger overall records in this matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Pick

• Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

I’ll back Atlanta in this matchup. Although both teams have struggled recently with identical 1-4 records over their last five games, the Braves own the better overall record and a strong 24-14 home record. Atlanta also has the stronger team pitching numbers, including a 3.41 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average. Those advantages give the Braves the edge.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Total Pick

• Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.

I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. Atlanta has the stronger pitching profile entering this matchup, and both listed starters carry ERAs below 3.50. The Braves also own the better opponent batting average, while St. Louis has scored 362 runs on the season. Based strictly on the provided statistics, I think this game stays below the posted number if it opens at 8.5.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Braves 4 – St. Louis Cardinals 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.