St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction for Monday August 3 2026
The St. Louis Cardinals begin a three-game series against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York, on Monday, August 3, 2026. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET, with television coverage provided by YES and Cardinals.TV. St. Louis enters the weekend finale at 54-57 overall and 26-25 on the road, while New York is 62-49 overall and 26-23 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Before making any wagers on Monday’s MLB schedule, take a look at our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Michael McGreevy is scheduled to take the mound for St. Louis. The right-hander is 4-9 with a 3.57 ERA this season. New York is expected to counter with Cam Schlittler, who has compiled a 10-6 record, a 2.04 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, and 165 strikeouts. This is a considerable starting-pitching advantage for the Yankees, particularly when comparing Schlittler’s dominant season numbers with an inconsistent St. Louis offense.
St. Louis Searches for an Offensive Answer
St. Louis has struggled to build momentum entering Monday’s series opener. The Cardinals have lost four of their previous five completed games, with the only victory being a 3-2 extra-inning decision against the Chicago Cubs. They lost the surrounding games by scores of 10-2 and 4-2 against Chicago before suffering consecutive 3-1 and 5-1 defeats in Toronto. That stretch has dropped the Cardinals three games below .500 and placed considerable pressure on their pitching staff.
The Cardinals are averaging approximately 4.3 runs per game while batting .239 as a team. They have recorded 888 hits, 151 doubles, 11 triples, 113 home runs, 355 walks, and 66 stolen bases. St. Louis owns a .314 on-base percentage and a .377 slugging percentage. The limited power production is particularly concerning ahead of a matchup with a starter carrying one of the strongest ERAs in baseball.
St. Louis has recorded a 4.17 team ERA while allowing opponents to bat .255. McGreevy’s 3.57 ERA is better than the staff’s overall mark, giving the Cardinals a chance to remain competitive if he delivers a quality start. However, St. Louis has scored only nine total runs across its past five completed games. Its central challenge will be creating enough offense against a New York starter who has consistently prevented opponents from producing meaningful rallies.
New York Leans on Its Run Prevention
New York has alternated wins and losses across its recent schedule, going 2-3 over its previous five completed games. The Yankees defeated the Chicago White Sox 3-2 and shut out the Cubs 2-0, but they also lost 6-5 and 2-1 against the White Sox before dropping a 5-2 decision at Wrigley Field. Despite that uneven stretch, New York remains 13 games over .500 and securely positioned as the stronger team in this matchup.
The Yankees are averaging approximately 4.6 runs per game and have scored 510 runs through 111 games. New York is batting .233 with a .311 on-base percentage and a .412 slugging percentage. The Yankees have accumulated 857 hits, 166 doubles, 14 triples, 156 home runs, 407 walks, and 108 stolen bases. Although their batting average is modest, their combination of power, patience, and speed gives them several ways to generate offense.
Pitching has supplied the foundation for New York’s successful season. The Yankees own a 3.30 team ERA with 991 strikeouts while allowing only 107 home runs and a .225 opponent batting average. Those numbers are substantially stronger than the corresponding St. Louis marks. Schlittler’s 2.04 ERA and 0.91 WHIP reinforce that advantage, and the Yankees should not need an exceptional offensive performance if their scheduled starter continues pitching at his established level.
St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick:
- New York Yankees
I am taking the Yankees on the moneyline. New York has the stronger overall record, the better pitching staff, and a pronounced advantage in Monday’s expected starting matchup. The Yankees have also produced considerably more power, hitting 43 more home runs than the Cardinals through the available season data.
St. Louis could remain competitive behind McGreevy, whose ERA is better than the Cardinals’ overall staff figure. Nevertheless, the visitors’ recent offensive production makes them difficult to trust against Schlittler. New York’s superior run prevention and home-field advantage make the Yankees the more dependable side.
Total Pick:
- Under 8.0
I will take the under if the total is set at 8.0. St. Louis has scored two runs or fewer in four of its previous five completed games, while New York has been held to three runs or fewer in four of its past five. That recent scoring pattern supports a lower-total approach.
The starting matchup provides the strongest reason for the under. Schlittler enters with a 2.04 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP, while McGreevy owns a respectable 3.57 ERA. With New York carrying a major pitching advantage and neither offense producing consistently in recent games, this contest has a realistic path to staying below eight runs.
This game Preview was completed prior to play on Sunday.