Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 2, 2025
In our Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction, the Texas Rangers are third in the AL Central with a 70-67 record so far. They are having left-hander Jacob Latz get the start as he is coming off a no-decision against the Los Angeles Angels, where he pitched 4.1 innings and allowed two runs on four hits with one walk and five strikeouts.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting in third place in the NL West with a 68-70 record entering this game. Righty Nabil Crismatt will be taking the ball and is coming off a win over the Milwaukee Brewers as he pitched 5.2 innings and allowed four runs (two earned) on eight hits with one walk and two strikeouts.
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WRITTEN BEFORE MONDAY’S GAME
Rangers Fighting for Last AL Wild Card
The Texas Rangers are hitting at a brutal level as the team is 27th in the sport with a .697 team OPS while averaging 4.35 runs per game. They have been doing a respectable job in terms of hitting homers as they are in 15th place with 185 combined home runs. Left fielder Wyatt Langford has been well at the plate as he has a .784 OPS with 20 home runs, 57 RBI, 67 runs scored, and 18 steals while being caught six times.
Jacob Latz is pitching poorly this season when diving into his Baseball Savant page as he is in the 11th percentile in walk percentage, 33rd percentile in hard hit percentage, 34th percentile in average exit velocity, and 47th percentile in chase percentage. He has four different pitches (fastball, changeup, slider, curveball) and his changeup has been his worst pitch as hitters have a .317 batting average and a .467 slugging percentage with one home run and 16 strikeouts against it. Latz faced the Diamondbacks once last season and did not factor into the decision out of the bullpen as he pitched 0.2 innings and gave up one run on three hits with one walk and zero strikeouts.
Injury Report for Texas
- Shortstop Corey Seager: Appendectomy (OUT)
- Center fielder Evan Carter: Wrist (OUT)
- Pitcher Nathan Eovaldi: Rotator Cuff (OUT)
- Second baseman Marcus Semien: Foot (OUT)
- Pitcher Cole Winn: Nerve (OUT)
- First baseman Jake Burger: Wrist (OUT)
- Pitcher Jon Gray: Shoulder (OUT)
- Center fielder Sam Haggerty: Oblique (OUT)
- Pitcher Chris Martin: Calf (OUT)
- Pitcher Tyler Mahle: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Cody Bradford: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Josh Sborz: Shoulder (OUT)
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Diamondbacks Looking to Stay in Playoff Hunt
The Arizona Diamondbacks are dominant at the plate as they are fourth in the bigs with a .760 team OPS while scoring 4.93 runs per game. The team has been aggressive on the bases as they are 14th in the majors with 100 stolen bases while being caught 30 times. Second baseman Ketel Marte has a .291/.393/.523 slash line with 23 home runs, 60 RBI, 75 runs scored, and four steals on six tries.
Nabil Crismatt has been pitching well, but has not pitched enough to factor into the percentile rankings on Baseball Savant as he has a 24.5 hard hit percentage, 4.1 barrel percentage, 86.6 MPH average exit velocity, and 3.60 xERA. He has a six-pitch arsenal (changeup, sinker, curveball, fastball, slider, cutter) and his fastball has been hit the most as hitters are 1-for-3 with a home run and a strikeout against it. This will be his first career appearance against the Rangers so it will be a good test for him.
Injury Report for Arizona
- First baseman Pavin Smith: Quadriceps (OUT)
- Pitcher Anthony DeSclafani: Thumb (OUT)
- Pitcher Kevin Ginkel: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Tommy Henry: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Ryan Thompson: Scapular Strain (OUT)
- Pitcher Christian Montes De Oca: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Justin Martinez: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Cristian Mena: Shoulder (OUT)
- Pitcher Corbin Burnes: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher AJ Puk: Elbow (OUT)
- Pitcher Blake Walston: Elbow (OUT)
Full Game Pick
Texas Rangers ML (4 units)
Full Game Pick Analysis
These bullpens are on two completely different levels as Texas is eighth with a 3.67 bullpen ERA while Arizona is 26th with a 4.67 reliever ERA up to this point. The ability to avoid hitting into double plays show a gap as the Rangers are tied with the Milwaukee Brewers for third place with 76 double plays hit into while the Diamondbacks are tied with the Baltimore Orioles for 21st with 92 double plays committed. All in all, go with the Texas Rangers to secure the victory here.
Full Game Total Prediction
Over (4 units)
Full Game Total Prediction Analysis
During the last week, these teams have shown they can score well as Texas is averaging 8.67 runs in their last six games while Arizona is scoring 4.71 runs in their previous seven games. Both teams are hitting home runs at a great rate this year as the Rangers are 16th with 29.83 at-bats per home run while the Diamondbacks are fifth with 24.3 at-bats between home runs right now. The over hit in three of the last four games so take the over as well.
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