Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, September 3, 2025
The MLB action continues on Wednesday with a matinee matchup between the Texas Rangers (72-68) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (69-71), and we’ve got you covered with our Rangers vs. Diamondbacks prediction. Below, I’ll dive into each team’s recent form and break down the starting pitching matchup, before concluding with picks and predictions on this contest that gets underway at 3:40 ET from Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. Don’t go down on strikes! Get our top MLB Predictions and increase your bankroll!
Rangers Making a Late Push
The Texas Rangers beat the Diamondbacks in the 2023 World Series, but now they’re at risk of missing the playoffs for a second consecutive season. Plus, they just lost Nathan Eovaldi (1.73 ERA) for the remainder of the season with a shoulder injury. With all of that being said, Texas is red-hot and making a late push for the postseason. They’ve won nine out of their last 11 games and are now only 1.5 games out of the final wild card spot at 72-68. The Rangers are priced at +250 to make the playoffs, which could be worth a flier with how tight the race is getting.
The Rangers lost Tuesday’s game to the Diamondbacks in a 5-3 affair. The defeat fell on the bullpen, and it was Hoby Milner (0.2 IP, 3 ER) specifically who took the loss. Offensively, Michael Helman led the way, going 2-for-4 with a run scored.
- Jack Leiter gets the nod for Wednesday’s series finale, and the 25-year-old is turning in a quality second season in the Majors.
- The right-hander comes into this contest at 9-7, owning a 9-7 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP.
- Leiter last pitched on Friday against the Athletics, limiting them to two earned runs on five hits over 6.0 innings.
- He picked up his second consecutive win in the 5-2 victory.
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Diamondbacks With a Forgettable Season
The expectations were high for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season. Still, due to injuries and a horrendous bullpen, the Snakes are going to miss the postseason for a second consecutive time. Arizona is currently 69-71, which puts them 10.0 games out of the divisional race and 6.5 games out of the wild card. To revisit the above-mentioned bullpen woes, the Diamondbacks are 25th in relief ERA (4.68) and 24th in WHIP (1.40). In terms of recent form, the Diamondbacks are on a 5-2 run, and they’re coming off of a 5-3 victory over the Rangers on Tuesday.
It was none other than Ketel Marte stepping up with late-game heroics once again, as he blasted a go-ahead, three-run bomb in the 7th. The late surge meant that Jalen Beeks (0.2 IP, 0 ER) earned the win in relief, while Taylor Rashi (2.0 IP, 1 ER) logged his second save of the year.
- Zac Gallen will oppose Leiter on Wednesday, and the supposed “ace” hasn’t been overpowering in 2025.
- The right-hander is 10-13 with a 4.94 ERA (47th) and a 1.30 WHIP (39th).
- Gallen is coming off of a 6.0-inning gem against the Dodgers last Friday, where he held them scoreless and conceded only two hits and three walks.
- It was a winning effort in a 3-0 victory.
Texas Rangers Moneyline (+115) (5 units)
We are getting the Rangers, who are on an insane 9-2 SU heater, against a sliding Diamondbacks side as underdogs. I absolutely love taking a flier on Texas at plus-money on Wednesday afternoon.
Both of these starting pitchers have been sharp recently, so I just about view this starting pitching matchup as a wash. However, the big edge here comes with the bullpen. Arizona is 26th in relief ERA (4.68), while Texas is sixth (3.64). Factor in the recent heater that the Rangers are on and the fact that they’re first in wOBA (.406) over the last seven days, and I love them as underdogs.
Under 9.0 (-115) (5 units)
As I mentioned, both of these starting pitchers are on fire. At an elevated number of 9.0 runs, I think this is a great opportunity to play the under. In six August starts (35.0 IP), Gallen has posted a 2.57 ERA. Plus, the right-hander has limited Texas’ current roster to a slash line of .165/.221/.268 over 97 at-bats.
As for Leiter, he logged a 2.76 ERA across six August outings (29.1 IP). Arizona’s offense has also struggled recently, ranking just 20th in wOBA (.309) with the eighth-highest K% (25.7%) over the last seven days. The Snakes are also without Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ACL), which is a big hit to their already-weakened offense that was gutted at the deadline. Give me the under.
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