Texas Rangers vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 24 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/24/2026, 12:20 AM ET
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The Texas Rangers and Miami Marlins meet on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida, with first pitch scheduled for 12:10 PM ET and coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Set the Stage in Miami

Texas is expected to start Jacob deGrom, who enters with a 6-4 record, a 3.59 ERA, and a 1.03 WHIP across 82.2 innings. He has allowed 67 hits, recorded 98 strikeouts, issued 18 walks, and given up 15 home runs. Miami’s starter is listed as Undecided, with no pitching stats provided for this matchup.

Texas Looks to Keep Its Road Push Moving

The Rangers enter this matchup with a 38-40 overall record and a 19-22 mark away from home. Texas has gone 3-2 across its last five games, recently winning over Miami and San Diego twice, while also recently losing to San Diego in extra innings and Minnesota.

Texas brings a .242 batting average into the game, along with 313 runs, 628 hits, 79 home runs, a .318 on-base percentage, and a .387 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Rangers have a 3.93 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, 235 walks, 653 strikeouts, and a .237 opponent batting average. They are also 14-12 in day games.

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The biggest strength for Texas in the provided numbers is its pitching profile. The Rangers have the lower ERA and WHIP in this matchup, and they also enter with a very slight edge from the matchup predictor at 50.3%. With the game projected nearly even, that pitching advantage gives Texas a real path to control the contest.

Miami Tries to Answer at Home

The Marlins come in with a 40-39 overall record and a strong 26-17 home record. Miami has won four of its last five games, recently winning over San Francisco three times and Philadelphia, while recently losing to Texas by one run.

Miami is hitting .245 as a team with 339 runs, 637 hits, 69 home runs, a .322 on-base percentage, and a .386 slugging percentage. The Marlins pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, 277 walks, 677 strikeouts, and a .229 opponent batting average. Miami is also 22-14 in day games.

The key strength for Miami is its overall home performance and run production. The Marlins have the better overall record, the stronger home mark, and more runs scored than Texas. Even after the recent one-run loss to the Rangers, Miami’s home record and recent 4-1 stretch keep this matchup very tight.

Texas Rangers vs Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction

Texas Rangers vs Miami Marlins Pick

  • Pick: Texas Rangers Moneyline

Texas is only slightly ahead in the matchup predictor, but the Rangers bring a notable pitching edge into this game. Their team ERA and WHIP are both lower than Miami’s, and their expected starter has a strong WHIP with 98 strikeouts in 82.2 innings. Miami has the better home record and recent form, so this is close, but Texas already recently won over Miami and has enough pitching support to be the pick.

Texas Rangers vs Miami Marlins Total Pick

  • Take the under if the total is set at 8.

I would lean under if the number is set at 8. Texas has a 3.93 team ERA, while Miami has a 4.07 ERA, and the previous meeting between these teams finished 4-3. Miami has scored more runs overall this season, but both teams are fairly close in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. With Texas leaning on the stronger pitching numbers and Miami coming off a low-scoring one-run game against this opponent, I would expect another controlled matchup.

Final Score Prediction: Texas Rangers 4 – Miami Marlins 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.

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