Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction for Friday August 28 2026
The Texas Rangers travel to American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, to face the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday, August 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. Texas enters at 66-68 overall and 30-39 on the road, while Milwaukee is 82-51 overall and 45-24 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Before placing any wagers, check out our free MLB picks for more baseball predictions and analysis.
Starting Pitchers
Texas is expected to start Cody Bradford, who enters at 0-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.40 WHIP across 20.2 innings. He has allowed 25 hits while striking out 13 and walking four, with one home run surrendered. Milwaukee counters with Logan Henderson, who is 8-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 0.89 WHIP through 69.1 innings. He has allowed just 48 hits while recording 79 strikeouts and 14 walks, with 10 home runs allowed. The starting-pitching advantage clearly favors Milwaukee based on the much stronger WHIP, strikeout production and overall body of work.
Rangers Need to Stop the Recent Slide
Texas enters Friday at 66-68 after losing consecutive games to the Chicago White Sox by scores of 11-7 and 10-4. The Rangers are 2-3 across their last five, with victories of 11-2 and 5-3 during that span.
The Rangers are batting .243 as a team with 543 runs, 1,080 hits and 149 home runs. Texas owns a .317 on-base percentage and .396 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Rangers carry a 4.27 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, while opponents are batting .249.
The biggest concern is the road profile. Texas is 30-39 away from home and now faces one of the strongest home teams in baseball. The Rangers have shown they can score in bunches, but their pitching has allowed 21 runs across the last two games, creating a difficult matchup against a Milwaukee club that has been far more consistent overall.
Brewers Continue to Separate Themselves
Milwaukee enters Friday with the best record in the NL Central at 82-51. The Brewers are 3-2 over their last five games and are coming off an 8-1 win over the Mets. They also defeated Atlanta twice during that stretch.
Milwaukee is batting .254 with 660 runs, 1,145 hits and 121 home runs. The Brewers own a .337 on-base percentage and .396 slugging percentage. Their pitching has been excellent, posting a 3.39 ERA and 1.17 WHIP, while opponents are hitting only .221.
The Brewers' biggest advantage is balance. Milwaukee has scored 117 more runs than Texas while also holding the clear edge in team ERA, WHIP and opponent batting average. Their 45-24 home record makes the matchup even tougher for a Rangers team that has struggled on the road.
Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Prediction
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline
Milwaukee is the side pick. The Brewers hold advantages in the starting matchup, overall pitching profile, offensive production and home-field performance. Texas has enough offense to keep this competitive, but the Rangers enter on a two-game losing streak and have allowed 21 runs in those defeats. Milwaukee has been the far more reliable team over the full season and has a major edge at home. Take the Milwaukee Brewers moneyline.
Pick: Under 8.5
The total isn't available at the time of writing, but take the Under if the number is set at 8.5. Milwaukee's projected starter enters with a 2.60 ERA and 0.89 WHIP, while the Brewers own a 3.39 team ERA and have held opponents to a .221 batting average. Texas has been involved in several high-scoring games recently, but Milwaukee's pitching profile creates a strong path toward suppressing the Rangers' offense. If the Brewers control the early innings as expected, this game can stay below nine runs.
This preview was completed before game play Thursday. Starting pitchers, betting lines and other game information are subject to change before the game begins.