Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction for Sunday September 27 2026

The Texas Rangers visit the Minnesota Twins at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on Sunday, September 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 PM ET with coverage on MLB.TV. Texas enters at 79-81 overall and 34-45 on the road, while Minnesota is 76-84 overall and 41-38 at home. The Rangers are tied with Houston atop the AL West, making the final weekend especially important for Texas, while Minnesota sits third in the AL Central, eight games behind Cleveland. The Twins won Friday's series opener 10-2 for their third consecutive victory, while Saturday's game had not been completed when this preview was prepared and is excluded from the analysis. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more MLB predictions throughout the season.

Starting Pitchers

Texas had not announced its starting pitcher for Sunday's game when this preview was completed. Minnesota is scheduled to start Dean Kremer, who enters at 4-5 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through 83.1 innings. He has allowed 71 hits and 17 home runs while recording 82 strikeouts against 29 walks. The ERA and home-run total create some concern, but Kremer's 1.20 WHIP indicates he has generally done a respectable job limiting baserunners. Texas' undecided starting situation remains the major unknown and should be confirmed before making a final wager.

Rangers Need an Immediate Response

Texas enters Sunday at 79-81 and has lost four of its last five completed games. The Rangers suffered a 10-2 loss in Friday's series opener after defeating New York 3-1. Texas previously dropped consecutive games against the Mets by scores of 7-2 and 6-3, while its other defeat during the five-game stretch was a 7-2 loss against Toronto. The Rangers have been outscored 31-12 over those five games and have scored three runs or fewer in every contest.

Texas is batting .241 with 663 runs, 1,277 hits and 178 home runs. The Rangers own a .317 on-base percentage and .394 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has posted a 4.32 ERA and 1.30 WHIP with 1,324 strikeouts against 490 walks while allowing opponents to hit .247.

The Rangers' recent offensive problems are especially concerning considering the significance of their remaining games. Texas has scored just 12 runs across its last five contests, and its season-long 663-run total is well below Minnesota's 731. The Rangers do own the better overall pitching numbers and have issued considerably fewer walks, but their 34-45 road record provides another reason for caution in Sunday's matchup.

Twins Bring Momentum Back to Target Field

Minnesota enters Sunday at 76-84 and has won four of its last five completed games, including three straight. The Twins routed Texas 10-2 Friday after earning consecutive road victories over San Francisco by scores of 4-2 and 3-2. Minnesota's only loss during the stretch was a 5-2 defeat against the Giants, while the Twins also shut out Los Angeles 8-0.

Minnesota is batting .244 with 731 runs, 1,319 hits and 185 home runs. The Twins own a .316 on-base percentage and .402 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has recorded a 4.55 ERA and 1.36 WHIP with 1,365 strikeouts against 579 walks while allowing opponents to hit .248.

Minnesota's advantage comes primarily from its offense and current form. The Twins have scored 68 more runs than Texas while hitting seven more home runs and producing 42 additional hits. Their .402 slugging percentage also tops the Rangers' .394 mark. Minnesota has allowed only 11 runs over its last five games, including a shutout and three other performances in which the opposition scored two runs. The season-long pitching statistics may favor Texas, but recent results have heavily favored Minnesota.

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Prediction

Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline

Minnesota gets the moneyline selection based on the combination of recent form, offensive production and home-field performance. The Twins have won four of five while Texas has lost four of five, and Minnesota dominated Friday's opener 10-2. The Rangers have also scored three runs or fewer in five consecutive games, producing only 12 total runs during that stretch. Minnesota owns a 41-38 home record compared with Texas' 34-45 road mark and has scored 68 more runs over the full season. The uncertainty surrounding the Rangers' starting pitcher prevents this from being an especially aggressive position, but Minnesota has enough advantages to warrant the moneyline selection.

Pick: Under 8.5 or Higher

Despite Friday's 12-run result, the under is the preferred position if the total reaches 8.5 or higher. Texas has scored just 12 runs over its last five games, while Minnesota has allowed only 11 during the same span. Four of the Twins' last five completed games have finished with six combined runs or fewer. Minnesota's scheduled starter carries a 4.97 ERA and has surrendered 17 home runs, so there is certainly some risk against a Texas lineup capable of power. However, his 1.20 WHIP is considerably stronger than the ERA suggests. Until Texas demonstrates that its offense has escaped the current slump, Under 8.5 or higher offers the more attractive total position.

Final Picks: Minnesota Twins Moneyline and Under 8.5 or Higher

This preview was completed on Saturday, September 26, 2026. Starting pitchers, betting lines and other game information are subject to change before the game begins.