Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Prediction for Thursday, September 10, 2026

The Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners meet Thursday at T-Mobile Park, with the opening pitch scheduled for 4:10 PM ET and the game televised on MLB.TV. Texas is 72-73, sits second in the AL West, two games behind Houston, and is 32-41 on the road. Seattle is 67-78, ranks third in the division, seven games behind Houston, and is 38-35 at home. The Rangers are 6-4 over their last 10 and beat Seattle 10-5 on Tuesday, while the Mariners are 3-7 over their last 10. The forecast calls for 63-degree weather. Cash in a big winner with our free MLB picks.

Texas Rangers Finding More Offense on the Road

Texas has scored 24 runs across its last three victories, including Tuesday's 10-run performance against Seattle and an 8-6 win over Tampa Bay. The Rangers are batting .243 with a .318 on-base percentage and .401 slugging percentage while hitting 168 home runs. Ezequiel Duran leads the regular hitters with a .275 average and has 17 homers and 78 RBI. Joc Pederson has a team-high 25 home runs, while Jake Burger has matched that total and leads Texas with 82 RBI.

The Rangers have a 4.30 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, with opponents batting .250. Texas has recorded 1,210 strikeouts while allowing 174 home runs. Brandon Nimmo leads the club with 139 hits, while Wyatt Langford has 16 home runs and 12 stolen bases. Texas has won three of its last five and has scored at least six runs in four of those games. The Rangers remain close to Houston in the AL West, making their recent increase in scoring important during the September division race.

Injuries: Kyle Higashioka and Josh Jung are on the 10-day IL. Carter Baumler is on the 60-day IL. Cole Winn and Nathan Eovaldi are on the 15-day IL.

Seattle Mariners Searching for More Consistent Scoring

Seattle has lost four of its last five, with Tuesday's 10-5 defeat against Texas following a 2-0 victory over the Athletics. The Mariners are batting .229 with a .310 on-base percentage and .374 slugging percentage while hitting 164 home runs. Randy Arozarena leads Seattle with a .274 average, 22 home runs and 67 RBI. Arozarena also has a .372 on-base percentage and 21 stolen bases. Josh Naylor is batting .267 with 141 hits and 26 stolen bases, while Julio Rodriguez has 20 homers and 20 steals.

Seattle's pitching staff has recorded a 4.20 ERA and 1.25 WHIP while holding opponents to a .250 average. The Mariners have allowed 650 runs and have a minus-76 run differential. Seattle's lineup has scored 574 runs, with Dominic Canzone contributing 21 home runs and 65 RBI and Cal Raleigh adding 21 homers and 59 RBI. The Mariners have dropped seven of their last 10 and scored two runs or fewer in two of the last three games.

Injuries: Brendan Donovan is on the 7-day IL. Brennen Davis and Will Wilson are on the 60-day IL. Emerson Hancock and Cole Wilcox are on the 15-day IL.

Pitching Matchup

Texas Rangers - Jacob deGrom

Jacob deGrom is 10-9 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.12 WHIP across 143.1 innings. The right-hander has allowed 122 hits, 19 home runs, and 38 walks while striking out 174. DeGrom's strikeout total remains one of his strongest numbers, and he has kept his WHIP low by limiting walks and hits. His 174 strikeouts against only 38 walks show strong command, while opponents have managed fewer hits than his innings pitched.

Seattle Mariners - Logan Gilbert

Logan Gilbert is 11-9 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.07 WHIP through 165 innings. Gilbert has recorded 176 strikeouts while allowing 134 hits, 42 walks and 26 home runs. The right-hander has kept his WHIP close to one and has surrendered fewer hits than innings pitched. Gilbert's 176 strikeouts lead Seattle's rotation, while his 3.71 ERA reflects a steady season despite allowing 26 home runs.

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Game Pick

• Texas Rangers

Texas is the pick with Jacob deGrom on the mound and the Rangers producing better results at the plate recently. Texas has scored six or more runs in four of its last five games, including 10 against Seattle on Tuesday. DeGrom has 174 strikeouts with only 38 walks, while the Rangers have several hitters contributing power throughout the lineup. Seattle has dropped seven of its last 10 and owns a minus-76 run differential. With Texas only two games behind Houston, the Rangers are the play on Thursday.

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Over/Under Pick

• Under

Under is the pick with Jacob deGrom and Logan Gilbert forming a strong starting pitching matchup. DeGrom has a 1.12 WHIP with 174 strikeouts across 143.1 innings, while Gilbert owns a 1.07 WHIP and 176 strikeouts in 165 innings. Seattle is batting only .229 with a .374 slugging percentage and has scored two runs or fewer in two of its last three games. Texas has been scoring well recently, but Gilbert's ability to limit hits and walks should help keep the Rangers from producing another big total.