Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals Picks and Prediction for Friday, September 19, 2025

Our Yankees vs. Twins prediction sees the New York Yankees (83-67) getting ready to take on the Minnesota Twins (66-84) in American League action at Target Field on Wednesday evening in the final game of a three-game series. The Blue Jays lost on the road 4-0 against the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday, while the Royals lost at home on Thursday against the Seattle Mariners 2-0. Veteran right-hander Max Scherzer gets the start for the Blue Jays while righty Michael Lorenzen pitches for the Royals. Dial in your read with MLB picks for the Toronto Blue Jays at the Kansas City Royals before first pitch.

Blue Jays Looking to Capture AL East Crown

The Toronto Blue Jays are looking to recover from their 4-0 road loss on Thursday against the Tampa Bay Rays to close out their series. The lineup was able to go just 4-for-29 with twp walks and six strikeouts on the day. The Blue Jays were 0-for-3 with runners in scoring position and stranded four men on base. Chris Bassitt struggled to provide length in the loss as he allowed three runs over 4.1 innings of work.

Veteran right-hander Max Scherzer is getting the start for the Toronto Blue Jays and has only made 15 starts this season. He is 5-3 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in 79.1 innings of work. He has been struggling with his ability to keep the ball in the park, as he has allowed 16 so far. Scherzer faced the Royals earlier this season in a victory as he pitched six innings and gave up one run on five hits with one hit by pitch, zero walks, and five strikeouts

Injury Report for Toronto

• Shortstop Bo Bichette: Knee (OUT)
• Pitcher Robinson Pina: Elbow (OUT)
• Pitcher Nick Sandlin: Elbow (OUT)
• Pitcher Yimi Garcia: Ankle (OUT)
• Pitcher Bowden Francis: Shoulder (OUT)
• Pitcher Ryan Burr: Shoulder (OUT)
• Right fielder Anthony Santander: Shoulder (OUT)
• Pitcher Angel Bastardo: Elbow (OUT)

Royals Looking to Get to .500

The Kansas City Royals are coming off a 2-0 road win on Thursday against the Seattle Mariners last time out. The team could not do much offensively as they were able to go 5-for-32 with zero walks and eight strikeouts as a whole. Kansas City was 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position and left six men on base. Tyler Kolek pitched well in a losing effort as he gave up two runs in 7.1 innings of work.

The Royals are going to be sending right-hander Michael Lorenzen to the mound and he is currently 5-11 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in 128.1 innings. He has been struggling to limit the amount of hits against him as he has a .277 batting average against. Lorenzen faced the Blue Jays twice last season as a member of the Texas Rangers (one start) as he was 0-1 in 4.2 innings and allowed five runs on eight hits with two walks and two strikeouts.

Injury Report for Kansas City

• Pitcher Ryan Bergert: Elbow (OUT)
• Center fielder Kyle Isbel: Hamstring (OUT)
• Pitcher Seth Lugo: Back (OUT)
• Pitcher Bailey Falter: Biceps (OUT)
• Pitcher Hunter Harvey: Abductor (OUT)
• Pitcher Steven Cruz: Shoulder (OUT)
• Pitcher Kris Bubic: Rotator Cuff (OUT)
• Pitcher Alec Marsh: Shoulder (OUT)
• Pitcher James McArthur: Elbow (OUT)

Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals Pick

Spread Pick for Blue Jays vs. Royals

• Kansas City Royals ML (5 units)

Neither starting pitcher is doing too hot in September thus far, but there is a difference. Max Scherzer is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA and a .200 batting average against in 9.1 innings (two starts) while Michael Lorenzen is 0-3 with a 7.04 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP in 15.1 innings (four games, three starts) so far. There is also a clear gap offensively with how these teams are hitting against right-handed pitching this season, as the Blue Jays are sixth in MLB with a .765 team OPS thus far, while the Royals are tied with the Houston Astros for 22nd with a .712 team OPS against righties. The Royals won four of the previous five games against the Blue Jays, so take the Kansas City Royals to win here.

Over/Under Pick for Blue Jays vs. Royals

• Over (5 units)

When diving into the previous seven outings, these pitchers are struggling. Max Scherzer is 3-2 with a 4.23 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP in 38.1 innings (seven starts) while Michael Lorenzen is 0-3 with a 5.97 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP in 28.2 innings (six starts) during that span. During September, these teams have been scoring at a great rate as the Blue Jays are scoring 5.19 runs in their 16 games while the Royals are averaging 3.75 runs in their 16 games. All in all, go with the over to hit in this game.