Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 17 2026
Use Code SSWC The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox meet on Wednesday, June 17, 2026, at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 PM ET, and the game will be available on MLB.TV. Toronto enters the matchup with a 34-38 overall record and a 13-20 mark on the road, while Boston comes in at 29-40 overall and 12-22 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more analysis and predictions.
Veteran Meets Young Left-Hander on the Mound
Toronto is expected to start Max Scherzer, who enters with a 1-4 record, a 10.23 ERA, a 1.73 WHIP, 22.0 innings pitched, 27 hits allowed, 14 strikeouts, 11 walks, and nine home runs allowed. Boston is expected to counter with Jake Bennett, who comes into the game with a 1-2 record, a 5.28 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, 15.1 innings pitched, 18 hits allowed, eight strikeouts, five walks, and one home run allowed. Neither starter has posted dominant numbers this season, but Boston’s starter enters with the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and significantly fewer home runs allowed.
Blue Jays Looking to Regain Their Footing
Toronto enters this contest with a 34-38 overall record and a 13-20 mark away from home. The Blue Jays have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently winning over New York and Philadelphia while recently losing to New York twice and Philadelphia once. Their most recent game was an 8-3 loss to New York.
The Blue Jays are hitting .250 as a team with 293 runs, 604 hits, 69 home runs, a .315 on-base percentage, and a .388 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff owns a 4.12 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .241 batting average. Toronto pitchers have recorded 642 strikeouts and issued 235 walks. The Blue Jays are 19-22 in night games this season.
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One of Toronto’s biggest strengths is its ability to put the ball in play consistently. The Blue Jays hold advantages over Boston in batting average, hits, slugging percentage, strikeouts recorded by the pitching staff, and opponent batting average. Those numbers have helped Toronto remain competitive despite sitting below .500.
Red Sox Seeking Momentum at Fenway Park
Boston comes into Wednesday’s matchup with a 29-40 record and a 12-22 mark at home. The Red Sox have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently winning over Texas twice while recently losing to Texas and Tampa Bay twice. Their latest result was a 6-4 loss to Texas.
The Red Sox are batting .246 as a team with 278 runs, 572 hits, 58 home runs, a .314 on-base percentage, and a .384 slugging percentage. On the mound, Boston owns a 3.91 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .247. The pitching staff has issued 211 walks and recorded 581 strikeouts. The Red Sox are 18-22 in night games this season.
The biggest strength for Boston has been its pitching. The Red Sox own the lower team ERA and have issued fewer walks than Toronto. While Boston trails the Blue Jays in several offensive categories, its pitching numbers have helped keep games competitive throughout the season.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Prediction
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pick
- Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline
Boston enters with a significant 64.4% edge in the matchup predictor and holds the advantage in the projected starting pitching matchup based on ERA and WHIP. The Red Sox also own the lower team ERA on the season. While Toronto has stronger offensive numbers overall, Boston's edge on the mound gives the Red Sox the advantage in this matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Total Pick
- Pick: Over 9.0
I would take the over if the total is set at 9.0. Both projected starters enter with ERAs above 5.00, and Toronto’s starter has allowed nine home runs in just 22.0 innings. The offensive numbers are fairly comparable, and this pitching matchup has the potential to produce enough scoring to push the game over the total.
Final Score Prediction: Boston Red Sox 6 – Toronto Blue Jays 5
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.
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