Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Prediction and Picks - September 6, 2025
The New York Yankees will continue their series against the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium, and we have you ready to go with the Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction.
Opening Pitch is slated for 1:05 PM Eastern, as the Blue Jays look to retain their top spot in the AL East. Read on for the Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction and more free MLB picks.
Toronto Wins 3rd Straight
A strong performance lifted Toronto from Kevin Gausman, who allowed one run over eight innings and struck out five. The Blue Jays struck out seven times as they put up seven runs on 11 hits. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led the way with four hits and a home run as three players finished with multiple hits at the plate.
RHP Max Scherzer is slated to get the start on Saturday for Toronto. Despite just turning 41, Scherzer has delivered competitive outings, showing flashes of intensity and command. Through 13 starts, he has compiled a 5-2 record with a 4.11 ERA across 70.1 innings pitched, striking out 62 batters while walking 16. While his velocity has slightly dipped, Scherzer continues to generate swings and misses. That said, he's surrendered seven home runs across six starts.
On the road this season:
- ERA: 3.62
- Opponent Batting Average (OBA): .217
- BB/K Ratio: 0.33
Toronto enters this contest averaging 3.77 runs per game, placing them 17th in the league. The Blue Jays maintain a team batting average of .257, ranking 7th overall. On the road, they have shown consistent performance, with a batting average of .260. However, their offense has been less effective during night games, with a batting average of .255. The Blue Jays average 1.2 home runs per game. They have been effective with runners in scoring position, contributing to their run production. Toronto aims to improve offensive consistency and capitalize on its home performance to climb in the AL East.
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Yankees Slide In AL East
New York only struck out five times, but the offense struggled as they finished with one run on four hits. The Yankees' lone run came from a Giancarlo Stanton home run in the 2nd inning. Stanton was the lone Yankee to log multiple hits. Cam Schlittler got the start, and over 1.2 innings, he struck out two and allowed four runs.
RHP Luis Gil is set to take the mound for the New York Yankees. This season, Gil has tossed 29.1 innings over six starts. He holds a 3.68 ERA with 29 strikeouts and 19 walks. While he's only allowed two home runs this season, Gil has walked multiple batters in five of his six starts this season.
At home this season, Gil holds the following splits:
- ERA: 2.35
- Opponent Batting Average (OBA): .263
- WHIP: 1.22
New York enters this contest averaging 6.5 runs per game, which lands them at 2nd in the league. The Yankees have been strong at the plate and are currently sitting in the top 10 in collective batting average. That average has slipped a bit at home, and fewer than half of their home runs and extra-base hits are coming out of Yankee Stadium. The Yankees have hit much stronger in afternoon games, and they have also seen their home run rate climb. New York still leads the league in home runs per game and is hovering around the top 10 in terms of walks per game. This has continued to allow them to drive runners home at a high rate.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Pick
Spread Pick for Blue Jays vs. Yankees
- Toronto ML (4 Units)
Scherzer has been great against the Yankees over his last two starts, and he retired seven against New York earlier this season. The Yankees have seen the ball well, but have struggled against Scherzer in the past, and are posting their worst batting split when hitting in afternoon games. Toronto has stayed steadfast at the plate, and with Gil battling a high walk rate, the Blue Jays should be able to find ways to get runners on base here, and their 11th-ranked hits for extra bases offense should find a way to get them home.
Toronto ML
Over/Under Pick for Blue Jays vs. Yankees
- Under 8.5 (4 Units)
As mentioned, the Yankees are hitting their worst during afternoon games this season and have struggled historically against Scherzer, with a collective .215 batting average. Toronto has struggled to leave runners on base this season, sitting 20th in runners left in scoring position. Gil has had issues with ball command, but he is still holding opponents under .300 at the plate. The play is the under.
Under 8.5
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