Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 5, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Toronto Blue Jays head to T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington, for a Sunday afternoon matchup against the Seattle Mariners on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 5:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on Peacock/NBCSN. Toronto enters the contest with a 42-46 overall record and an 18-21 record on the road, while Seattle is 45-44 overall and 25-20 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Blue Jays a 45.7 percent chance to win, while the Mariners are favored with a 54.3 percent chance. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers
Toronto is scheduled to start Trey Yesavage, who enters with a 4-3 record, a 3.34 ERA, and a 1.10 WHIP over 67.1 innings. He has allowed 44 hits, struck out 61 batters, walked 30, and surrendered six home runs. Seattle will counter with George Kirby, who is 7-7 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP across 104.0 innings. Kirby has allowed 113 hits while recording 91 strikeouts, issuing 24 walks, and giving up 10 home runs. Yesavage owns the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and has allowed fewer hits and home runs, while Kirby has worked significantly more innings and recorded more strikeouts.
Toronto Tries to Build on Its Series Opening Win
The Blue Jays come into Sunday’s matchup with a 42-46 overall record and an 18-21 mark away from home. Toronto has posted a 3-2 record over its last five games, most recently earning a 2-0 victory over Seattle. Before opening this series with a win, the Blue Jays split four games against the Mets and Rangers, defeating New York twice while dropping one game to New York and another to Texas.
Toronto is batting .247 with 356 runs, 730 hits, and 88 home runs. The Blue Jays own a .309 on-base percentage and a .388 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has compiled a 4.04 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP, 313 walks, 781 strikeouts, and a .240 opponent batting average.
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The Blue Jays’ biggest advantage is their ability to consistently put the ball in play. Toronto has the higher team batting average and more hits than Seattle while also entering the game after holding the Mariners scoreless in the series opener.
Seattle Looks to Bounce Back at Home
The Mariners enter the contest at 45-44 overall and have gone 25-20 at home this season. Seattle had won three straight games before falling 2-0 to Toronto on Friday. During that winning streak, the Mariners defeated the Angels three consecutive times after dropping a one-run contest to Cleveland.
Seattle owns a .231 batting average with 357 runs, 679 hits, and 105 home runs. The Mariners have produced a .312 on-base percentage and a .379 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has been solid throughout the season, posting a 3.63 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP, 224 walks, 773 strikeouts, and a .239 opponent batting average.
Seattle’s biggest strength is its pitching. The Mariners hold the lower team ERA, lower WHIP, fewer walks, and a slightly lower opponent batting average. Those numbers have helped offset an offense that has scored only one more run than Toronto despite hitting more home runs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Prediction
Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Pick
- Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline
Seattle gets the edge based solely on the information provided. The Mariners own the better overall record, the stronger home record, and the higher matchup predictor percentage. Their pitching staff also has advantages in ERA, WHIP, walks allowed, and opponent batting average, making Seattle the stronger overall choice despite Toronto winning the most recent meeting.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I like the under if the total is set at 8.5. Both projected starters enter with ERAs below 4.00, and Seattle’s pitching staff owns a 3.63 team ERA with a 1.18 WHIP. Friday’s series opener finished 2-0, and the numbers provided point toward another game where pitching could lead the way.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners 4 – Toronto Blue Jays 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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