Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction for Friday June 26 2026
Use Code SSWC The Washington Nationals visit the Baltimore Orioles on Friday, June 26, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland, with first pitch scheduled for 7:05 PM ET and coverage available on MLB.TV. Washington enters at 41-40 overall and 24-16 away from home, while Baltimore comes in at 38-44 overall and 22-19 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Step Into an Evenly Matched Spot
Andrew Alvarez is listed as the probable starter for Washington, entering with a 1-0 record, 3.34 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 32.1 innings pitched, 33 hits allowed, 37 strikeouts, 12 walks, and two home runs allowed. Baltimore is expected to counter with Trevor Rogers, who brings a 4-7 record, 5.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 73.0 innings pitched, 75 hits allowed, 54 strikeouts, 24 walks, and nine home runs allowed. Washington has the edge in ERA, strikeout rate by raw innings comparison, and home runs allowed, while Baltimore has the slightly better WHIP among the listed starters.
Washington Brings a Strong Road Record to Baltimore
Washington enters this game with a 41-40 overall record and a 24-16 mark away from home. The Nationals have recently lost to Philadelphia by scores of 5-4 and 14-9, recently won over Philadelphia 4-1, recently lost to Tampa Bay 4-3, and recently won over Tampa Bay 4-3. That gives Washington two wins in its last five games, but the road record remains a major part of the case for the visiting team.
The Nationals are batting .247 with 433 runs, 684 hits, 108 home runs, a .321 on-base percentage, and a .425 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, Washington has a 4.69 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 284 walks, 628 strikeouts, and a .258 opponent batting average. The Nationals are also 19-20 in day games based on the provided team data.
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Washington’s biggest strength is run production. The Nationals have scored 433 runs, which is higher than Baltimore’s 382, and they also hold the edge in batting average, hits, home runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Even with the pitching numbers leaning more uneven, Washington’s offense gives it a clear path to put pressure on the home team.
Baltimore Tries to Answer at Camden Yards
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 38-44 overall record and a 22-19 record at home. The Orioles have recently lost to Los Angeles by scores of 7-6 in 10 innings and 5-1, recently won over Los Angeles 6-1, and recently won over Los Angeles by scores of 12-1 and 3-2. That gives Baltimore three wins in its last five games, although the Orioles enter this game after two straight recent losses.
The Orioles are batting .241 with 382 runs, 660 hits, 98 home runs, a .320 on-base percentage, and a .402 slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 289 walks, 648 strikeouts, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Orioles are also 17-20 in day games according to the provided team data.
Baltimore’s key advantage is on the pitching side. The Orioles have the lower team ERA, slightly lower WHIP, more strikeouts, and slightly lower opponent batting average compared with Washington. The overall offensive numbers favor the Nationals, but Baltimore’s run prevention profile gives the home team a realistic chance to keep the game close.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Prediction
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Pick
- Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline
Washington is the pick because the Nationals have the better overall record, the much stronger road record, and the better offensive profile. Baltimore has the slight matchup predictor edge at 51.9 percent compared with 48.1 percent for Washington, but the Nationals have more runs, hits, home runs, a better batting average, a better on-base percentage, and a better slugging percentage. Based only on the provided numbers, I trust Washington’s offense and road record more in this matchup.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Total Pick
- Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 9.
I would lean over if the total is set at 9 because Washington has scored 433 runs with a .425 slugging percentage, while Baltimore has recently been involved in a 7-6 extra-inning game and a 12-1 win. Washington’s team ERA is 4.69, and Baltimore’s is 4.43, so the run-prevention numbers leave room for scoring. Based only on the provided data, I expect enough offense for this matchup to get over that number.
Final Score Prediction: Washington Nationals 6 – Baltimore Orioles 5
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.
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