Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Prediction for Wednesday July 1 2026
Use Code SSWC The Washington Nationals visit the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts, on Wednesday, July 1, 2026, at 1:35 PM ET, with coverage on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers for Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox
Andrew Alvarez is scheduled to start for Washington. He enters the game with a 1-1 record, a 3.44 ERA, a 1.47 WHIP, and 36.2 innings pitched. He has allowed 39 hits, struck out 42 batters, walked 15, and surrendered two home runs. Boston is expected to counter with Payton Tolle, who is 4-5 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP across 71.1 innings. He has given up 53 hits, recorded 69 strikeouts, issued 20 walks, and allowed six home runs.
Washington Aims to Regain Momentum
The Nationals enter this contest with a 43-43 overall record and a strong 26-18 mark on the road. Washington recently lost to Boston 6-3 after splitting its previous three games against Baltimore, earning wins of 6-4 and 4-3 in 10 innings before dropping a 3-1 decision. Prior to that stretch, the Nationals lost 10-5 to Philadelphia. Washington has won two of its last five games entering this matchup.
Washington owns a .245 team batting average while scoring 452 runs on 723 hits. The lineup has produced 113 home runs with a .318 on-base percentage and a .421 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Nationals have posted a 4.71 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP, allowing opponents to bat .258. Washington is also 20-20 in day games this season.
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The biggest strength for Washington is its offense. The Nationals have scored significantly more runs than Boston while also producing more hits, home runs, and a better slugging percentage. If that offensive production returns after the recent loss, it gives Washington an opportunity to even the series.
Boston Looks to Continue Its Winning Run
The Red Sox come into this matchup with a 37-46 overall record and a 17-25 home record. Boston recently defeated Washington 6-3 and enters on an impressive five-game winning streak. Before beating the Nationals, the Red Sox swept four straight games from New York, winning by scores of 5-4 in 10 innings, 4-1, 6-1, and 6-3.
Boston enters the game with a .244 batting average, 334 runs, 677 hits, and 73 home runs. The Red Sox own a .312 on-base percentage and a .386 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has recorded a 3.69 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .240 batting average. Boston is 12-21 in day games.
The Red Sox have separated themselves with their pitching. Boston owns a considerably lower team ERA and WHIP than Washington while also holding opposing hitters to a much lower batting average. That ability to prevent runs has fueled the club’s recent five-game winning streak.
Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Prediction
Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Pick
- Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline
I like Boston in this matchup. The Red Sox enter with five consecutive victories, including a 6-3 win over Washington in the opening game of this series. Boston also owns the stronger overall pitching numbers, posting a 3.69 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP compared to Washington’s 4.71 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. While the Nationals have been the better offensive club statistically, Boston’s recent form and stronger pitching profile give the Red Sox the edge.
Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Total Pick
- Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.
I would lean toward the under if the total is set at 8.5. Boston’s team ERA of 3.69 and opponent batting average of .240 have been among the stronger numbers in this matchup, while Payton Tolle also brings a 2.78 ERA into the game. Washington has the higher-scoring offense overall, but Boston’s recent pitching performance makes me believe this game stays below that number.
Final Score Prediction: Boston Red Sox 5 – Washington Nationals 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.
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