Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction for Monday, July 20, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/20/2026, 01:00 AM ET
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The Washington Nationals will visit the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado, on Monday, July 20, 2026, with the opening pitch scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. MLB.TV will provide coverage of the game. Washington enters at 49-50, while Colorado carries a 40-60 record. ESPN Analytics gives the Nationals a 57.4% chance of winning compared with 42.6% for the Rockies. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

The starting pitching matchup will lead a contest featuring two teams with elevated season pitching numbers. Washington enters with a 4.85 team ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average. Colorado carries a 5.42 ERA, a 1.51 WHIP, and a .286 opponent batting average. The Nationals have recorded 789 strikeouts while issuing 348 walks, compared with 704 strikeouts and 328 walks for the Rockies.

Washington Brings a Strong Road Record to Denver

Washington enters Monday’s matchup with a 49-50 overall record and an impressive 29-19 record away from home. The Nationals have lost four of their last five games. Washington recently suffered a 15-1 road loss against the Athletics after earning a commanding 23-4 victory over the same opponent. The Nationals also recently lost three consecutive home games against the New York Yankees by scores of 5-3, 4-2, and 5-3.

The Nationals are batting .251 with 540 runs, 855 hits, and 142 home runs. Washington owns a .326 on-base percentage and a .438 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff has produced a 4.85 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP while issuing 348 walks and recording 789 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .261 against the Nationals. Washington has also posted a 21-24 record in day games.

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Washington’s most prominent strength is its offensive production. The Nationals have scored 62 more runs and hit 30 more home runs than Colorado. Washington also owns the higher slugging percentage while matching the Rockies with a .326 on-base percentage. The concern is consistency, as the Nationals scored 23 runs in their lone victory during the last five games but produced only nine combined runs across the four losses.

Colorado Looks to Build on a Convincing Home Win

Colorado comes into Monday’s contest with a 40-60 overall record and a 23-26 mark at Coors Field. The Rockies have won two of their last five games and recently earned a 10-3 home victory over Cincinnati. Colorado lost 7-2 to the same opponent in the previous meeting. The Rockies also recently dropped two road contests against San Francisco by scores of 3-1 and 4-2 after earning a 4-3 victory over the Giants.

The Rockies are batting .255 with 478 runs, 867 hits, and 112 home runs. Colorado has recorded a .326 on-base percentage and a .420 slugging percentage. Its pitching staff owns a 5.42 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP while issuing 328 walks and collecting 704 strikeouts. Opponents are batting .286 against the Rockies. Colorado has also produced a 12-20 record in day games.

Colorado’s primary offensive strength is its ability to collect hits. The Rockies have a higher batting average and 12 more hits than Washington. However, Colorado trails the Nationals in runs, home runs, and slugging percentage. The greater weakness is the pitching staff, which has the higher ERA, higher WHIP, and higher opponent batting average. The Rockies have also recorded 85 fewer strikeouts than Washington.

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Prediction

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Pick

  • Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline

Washington is my moneyline selection for Monday’s matchup. The Nationals have the better overall record and are 10 games above .500 on the road, while Colorado is 20 games below .500 overall and three games below .500 at home. Washington also holds meaningful advantages in runs, home runs, slugging percentage, ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and opponent batting average. ESPN Analytics gives the Nationals a 57.4% chance of winning, making Washington the preferred side.

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 10.5

Take the over if the total is set at 10.5. I am backing the over because both teams enter with elevated pitching numbers. Washington has a 4.85 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP, while Colorado owns a 5.42 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. The Nationals’ last two games produced combined totals of 16 and 27 runs, while Colorado’s two most recent games finished with 13 and nine. Washington has scored 540 runs with 142 home runs, and Colorado recently scored 10 in its latest victory. Those supplied numbers support a higher-scoring result.

Final Score Prediction: Washington Nationals 7 – Colorado Rockies 5

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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