Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday January 12 2026
Use Code SSWC Celtics vs Pacers picks are in focus as Boston and Indiana meet for the third time in just three weeks, and this matchup is drawing attention from bettors tracking sharp NBA picks and market movement. With injuries impacting key scorers and recent trends pointing clearly in one direction, this game sets up as a data-driven betting spot.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Pacers +6
- Total Pick: Under 225.5
- Projected Final Score: Celtics 111, Pacers 107
Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Celtics vs Pacers
- Boston has failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
- The under is 6-2 in the Celtics’ last eight games.
- Five of Indiana’s last six games have stayed under the total.
- Four of the last five meetings between these teams have gone over the total.
- Indiana is last in the league in effective field goal percentage and true shooting percentage.
- The Pacers rank bottom-five in offensive rebounding.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread |
|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | -6 (-106) |
| Indiana Pacers | +6 (-114) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Boston | Indiana |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | 07:03:17 PM | -7 -110 | +7 -110 |
| 01/11 | 07:26:43 PM | -6½ -112 | +6½ -108 |
| 01/11 | 08:26:34 PM | -6½ -108 | +6½ -112 |
| 01/11 | 08:55:38 PM | -6 -110 | +6 -110 |
| 01/11 | 08:58:27 PM | -5½ -114 | +5½ -106 |
| 01/11 | 09:41:20 PM | -5½ -110 | +5½ -110 |
| 01/11 | 09:42:21 PM | -6 -110 | +6 -110 |
| 01/11 | 11:50:42 PM | -6 -108 | +6 -112 |
| 01/12 | 00:09:33 AM | -6 -106 | +6 -114 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | 07:03:18 PM | 223½ -115 | 223½ -105 |
| 01/11 | 08:26:35 PM | 223 -110 | 223 -110 |
| 01/12 | 01:31:08 AM | 224½ -106 | 224½ -114 |
| 01/12 | 08:04:59 AM | 225½ -110 | 225½ -110 |
Celtics vs Pacers Game Preview and Analysis
This is the third meeting in a short span between Boston and Indiana, and while the Celtics have won both prior matchups, the betting results have been more competitive. Indiana managed to stay within the number as a large underdog in the first meeting, and recent form suggests another tight contest.
Boston comes in after failing to cover three straight games, including a home loss to San Antonio. The Celtics have played at a bottom-five pace this season, and that slow tempo becomes even more important with Jaylen Brown listed as doubtful. Without his scoring and athleticism, Boston tends to lean further into half-court sets.
Indiana is coming off back-to-back upset wins over Charlotte and Miami, including a dominant defensive effort that held the Heat under 40 percent shooting. While the Pacers have struggled offensively all season, ranking last in both effective field goal percentage and true shooting percentage, their recent defensive focus has kept games under control.
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With Indiana also ranking bottom-five in offensive rebounding, missed shots are not turning into second chances. That combination of poor shooting and limited extra possessions strongly supports a lower-scoring game, especially against a slow-paced Boston team.
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Key Injuries and Notes (BOS / IND)
- BOS: Jaylen Brown is doubtful with back spasms.
- BOS: Sam Hauser is questionable with a hamstring injury.
- IND: Bennedict Mathurin is expected to be out.
- IND: Isaiah Jackson is expected to be out.
- IND: Andrew Nembhard is questionable with a back issue.
Final Score Prediction
- Final Score: Celtics 111, Pacers 107
ATS and Total Picks
- Spread: Pacers +6
- Total: Under 225.5
