Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Picks and Prediction for Wednesday November 11 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 11/11/2026, 12:00 AM ET
Raptors player drives the lane against the Grizzlies.

Boston heads to Toronto on Wednesday night for a 7 PM ET game at Scotiabank Arena. The Celtics have been playing some pretty good basketball, while the Raptors are coming off a rough night against Memphis. Boston has won three straight and hasn’t allowed 100 points in either of its last two games. Toronto just gave up 118 at home. I know the Raptors can score, but I’m having a hard time seeing how they consistently get good shots against this Boston defense. At the time of this writing, verified betting lines were unavailable. Make sure you are aware of all the games and picks by checking out our free NBA picks.

Boston Has Been Making Life Miserable for Opponents

Boston is 8-2, including 3-2 on the road, and comes into this game riding a three-game winning streak. The Celtics beat Milwaukee 117-97 on Sunday, two days after absolutely burying Charlotte 119-80. That Charlotte game wasn’t much of a contest after Boston got rolling. The Celtics have been defending, moving the basketball, and getting enough scoring from different spots. It’s been a good stretch.

Boston is scoring 115 points per game and allowing only 104.3. That’s a difference of nearly 11 points a night. I like that a lot more than a team that needs to score 125 just to survive. The Celtics have been making opponents work for decent shots, and they’ve been especially effective when they can get set defensively. Toronto likes to get moving, but Boston isn’t going to hand the Raptors easy transition baskets all night.

The availability of Payton Pritchard is worth watching because Boston needs steady guard play, particularly on the road. Jayson Tatum has also been listed out. That takes away a major offensive option, but the Celtics have already shown they can win with defense and balanced scoring. Against Toronto, the important thing is keeping the ball moving instead of settling for difficult shots early in the possession.

Toronto Has to Get Back to Defending

Toronto is 5-5 after losing 118-102 to Memphis on Monday. The Raptors had been putting together some encouraging performances, but Memphis controlled too much of that game. Toronto was down six at halftime and couldn’t make much of a dent after the break. Now the Raptors get Boston, which is hardly the opponent you’d choose when trying to get your offense straightened out.

The Raptors have been scoring around 116 points per game and allowing about 113. That’s a reasonable offensive number, but the defense hasn’t been nearly as dependable as Boston’s. Toronto can put points up in a hurry when the ball is moving and the outside shots are falling. The trouble comes when those shots aren’t going down. Against the Celtics, the Raptors can’t afford to waste six or seven possessions trying to find their rhythm.

Toronto also has some availability questions, with Kawhi Leonard and Nate Bittle appearing on the injury report. The Raptors need their healthy rotation players to be aggressive without getting careless. They can’t spend the whole night trying to beat Boston one-on-one. Get the ball inside, force the Celtics to rotate, and make the extra pass. That’s how Toronto has a chance.

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors Picks and Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Boston Celtics

I’m taking Boston. Toronto is capable of winning this game, especially at home, but the Celtics have been too reliable defensively for me to go the other way. Holding Charlotte to 80 and Milwaukee to 97 is impressive, and Boston hasn’t needed a perfect offensive night to win. Toronto just gave up 118 to Memphis. If the Raptors don’t defend better than that, Boston should have control of this game by the fourth quarter.

Total Pick: Under  

I lean under, depending on where the total lands. Boston is allowing only 104.3 points per game, and I think the Celtics will try to keep Toronto from getting into a running game. The Raptors can score, so this isn’t an automatic under. But I expect Boston to make them work through the shot clock. Something in the neighborhood of 111-105 Boston makes sense to me. I’d need a posted total comfortably above that projection before making the bet.

Final Picks: Boston Celtics Moneyline | Under 

Disclaimer: Completed November 10, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting lineups may change before tipoff.

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