Celtics vs. Cavaliers, Picks and Prediction, Sunday, November 30, 2025
Sunday is not just for football, as the NBA offers this Celtics vs. Cavs prediction. Boston (10-9) is coming off a 119-115 loss at Minnesota on Saturday. Cleveland (12-8) last played on Nov. 28, losing at Atlanta 130-123. These teams met on Oct. 29, with Boston winning 125-105 at home thanks to 30 points from Jaylen Brown and 21 from Sam Hauser off the bench. Keep reading our free NBA picks and more NFL picks on Sunday from Stat Salt.
C's playing better lately without Tatum
Boston fans won't be happy with a 10-9 record, but without Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis and with Jayson Tatum (Achilles) out for the year, this was going to be a difficult season. On Saturday, they came in against Minnesota playing their best basketball of the season, winning five of their last six games. They fell to the T-Wolves by four points on the road, covering the six points. Brown led the Celtics with 41 points, five steals and seven assists on 17-of-32 shooting. Center Neemias Queta added 19 points and 18 rebounds. Boston couldn't slow down Anthony Edwards (39 points), who made 5 of 11 from three-point range and 10 of 11 from the line. The T-Wolves also shot 44% (21 of 48) from long range.
Brown has been outstanding, averaging 28.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while shooting 49.8% from the field (35.1% 3pt). Payton Pritchard adds 16.2 points and 4.9 assists. Pritchard is a good role player, but when he's your second-leading scorer, you have issues. Derrick White (16ppg, 5.1apg) is also having a rough start, shooting just 36.3% from the field and 31.7% from long range.
Defensively, the Celts are elite, allowing just 110.7 points per game (3rd) and 44.2% from the field (3rd). They are shooting 46% from the field, which ranks 21st in the league. Boston has no recent key injuries.
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Cavs are underachieving a bit
You can't expect Cleveland to repeat what they did last season, which was win 64 games. They've had some injuries, which has slowed them down and on Sunday, they will be playing without center Jarrett Allen and backup forward Larry Nance Jr. The Cavs have struggled on the road, going 4-5, while possessing an 8-3 record at home. In their last two games, they fell at Toronto 110-99 on Nov. 24 and at Atlanta by seven on Friday. In that game, Donovan Mitchell paced the Cavs with 42 points and Evan Mobley added 20 points, 14 rebounds and seven assists. But Cleveland committed 17 turnovers and allowed the Hawks to shoot 53% from the field. Allen and Nance both played in that game as did Lonzo Ball, who has been dealing with a knee issue this season and in the last 2-3 years.
Mitchell leads the team with 30.6 points per game, while shooting 50.5% from the field and dishing out 5.3 assists per game. He's played 18 of the team's 20 games, while Darius Garland (13.7ppg) has played in just six games due to a toe injury. Cleveland ranks 6th on DunksandThrees.com in Adjusted Net Rating, eighth in Adjusted Offensive ratings, and seventh in Adjusted Defensive ratings
Key Injuries for Cavs
- F Larry Nance Jr. (calf) is out.
- G Lonzo Ball (knee) is out.
- C Jarrett Allen (finger) is out.
Betting Trends for Celtics vs. Cavs
Boston is:
- 4-1 ATS last 5 games.
- 6-3 Under last 9 games.
Cleveland is:
- 1-4 ATS last 5 games.
- 6-1 Under last 7 games.
Spread Pick for Celtics vs. Cavs
Celtics vs. Cavs Prediction and Pick
- Boston +7.5 (4 units)
Yes, Boston is coming off a game yesterday, but Allen and Nance Jr. will be out for Cleveland, hurting their presence in the paint. Boston may not a great shooting team, but they play solid defense. Their defense also travels as they are allowing teams to shoot just 43.1% from the field on the road. Boston may not win outright, but they'll cover this game. They've covered three straight and four of their last five games. Cleveland has covered just one of their last five games.
Over/Under pick for Celtics vs. Cavs
- Under 232.5 (4 units)
Cleveland has been an under team as of late, going under in six of their last seven games. Boston has gone under in six of their last nine games. In terms of pace, Cleveland wants to push it, but Boston is the slowest-paced team in the league (30th). These teams have gone under in three of their last four games.
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