Charlotte Hornets vs. Miami Heat, Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, October 28, 2025
A pair of Southeast Division rivals link up on Tuesday night and we have the Hornets vs. Heat predictions to get you ready for tipoff. Charlotte (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS) won big on the road against Washington on Sunday, 139-113, as +1.5 underdogs. Miami (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS) snuck by New York on Sunday, 115-107, as +3 underdogs at home. These two will get rolling from the Kaseya Center in Miami at 7:30 EST and for more, check out all of our NBA Free picks.
Hornets’ offense buzzing
The Hornets are five points shy of being among the undefeated teams, but despite the loss, they still have the top scoring offense over the first week of play, averaging a league-best 132 points per game. They had a season-high 139 points on Sunday behind a monster performance from LaMelo Ball, who had 38 points, 13 rebounds, 13 assists and three steals. The team is shooting 52.5% from the field in their three games, hitting 12.5 threes a night. Their 2.11 assist-to-turnover ratio is second-best in the NBA. Following a 25-point performance in the season opener, Brandon Miller suffered a left shoulder subluxation just nine minutes into game two and he remains sidelined with no update on a possible return yet.
On defense, Charlotte is giving up 118.3 points per game, 15th in the league, and teams are shooting 45.5% from the field against them, with 14 three pointers each night. On the glass, the Hornets average 49 rebounds, and they turn the ball over 14.3 times per game. The defense averages 7.7 steals and four blocks per game, helping them squeeze 15.7 turnovers from their foes each game. Ball is leading the team with 28.3 points, 8.3 rebounds, 9.7 assists and two steals per game. Miles Bridges ranks second on the club with both 19.3 points and eight rebounds per game.
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Team notes
- Fourth in the league with a 31.3-point average in the fourth quarter.
- Ball is the only player other than Nikola Jokic to record a triple-double this season.
- Grant Williams (knee) and Josh Green (shoulder) remain out of the lineup for this game.
Heat get things going
Following a season-opening loss, the Heat figured things out and pulled off back-to-back wins behind a strong, balanced attack. Their defense allowed them to get past the Knicks on Sunday as they allowed 27 points or less in all four quarters. Bam Adebayo came down with 13 rebounds in the win and scored 19 points for his second double-double of the year. Miami’s defense ranks ninth in the league, allowing 115.3 points per game. Opponents are shooting 41.7% from the field against them with 13.3 threes per game. The Heat are grabbing 51.3 rebounds but losing 17.3 turnovers per game. In response, they are coaxing 16.7 turnovers from opponents via 10.3 steals and three blocks per game.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ricky Tran | +952.00 |
| 2 |  Mike Lundin | +376.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +300.00 |
| 4 |  Bruce Marshall | +247.00 |
| 5 |  Ben Burns | +190.00 |
On the offensive end, Miami is putting up 127.3 points a night, the fifth-best average in the NBA. They are shooting 49.6% from the field and hitting 14.7 threes per game. They rank 14th with a 1.62 assist-to-turnover ratio. Norman Powell is shooting 47.7% overall and leads the team with 24 points per game. Adebayo is averaging a double-double, with 19.3 points and a team-high 10 rebounds per game. Davion Mitchell is adding a team-best 8.3 assists per game while scoring nine points a night.
Team notes
- Jaquez is shooting 71% from the field, fifth best in the NBA before Monday’s action.
- Backup point guard Kasparas Jakucionis (groin) has been ruled out of Tuesday’s game.
- Second in the league with an average of 35.7 points in the first quarter of games.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,502.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
| 3 | Brick Haus Sports | +634.00 |
| 4 |  David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Hornets vs. Heat Picks
Spread Pick for Hornets vs. Heat
- Hornets -4.5 (5 units)
In four meetings last season, the Heat went 3-1 SU but were 2-2 ATS. Miami looked strong in their win over a very good Knicks team on Sunday. Their offense couldn’t duplicate the 146-point effort from their previous game, but they showed their ability to win differently. Charlotte’s offense has been frighteningly good thus far, but this will be their toughest defensive matchup to date. Still, they’ve done an excellent job at working the ball around and getting many different players involved. They aren’t afraid to go deep on their bench, and they are getting big contributions from their reserve unit. The Hornets have also been able to score big even with some key pieces out of the lineup. They are the team that at this stage of the season, I would not want to be up against. At some point, Charlotte may cool down, but it won’t be in this matchup. They are 6-4 ATS in their last ten games against the Heat.
Take the Hornets getting the points.
Over/Under Pick for Hornets vs. Heat
- Over 234 (5 units)
Last season, these two teams averaged a combined 211.5 points per game, but these were two of the bottom seven offenses in the league in terms of scoring last year. The first matchup this season sees the two sides come to the table with two of the top five scoring offenses through three games. Not only are they both scoring a lot, but they are also both shooting the ball very well, each hitting over 49% of their shots. Even without Miller and a few key bench bodies in the lineup, the Hornets were still able to score their highest total of the season. Four players are averaging at least 15 points per game thus far and Ball has really taken over things. The Heat have three players averaging over 15 points per game and four players averaging at least two three-pointers a night. The over is 5-1 between the two teams this season.
Take the over.
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