Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers Prediction and Picks - November 29, 2025
NBA action on Saturday evening, and we have a Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers prediction locked and loaded for you. The Bulls enter this game off a 123-116 loss to Charlotte on the road to fall to 9-9 on the year. The Pacers continue to have one of the worst records in the league at 3-16, but they are off a 119-86 home win over Washington. Indiana took three of the four meetings a year ago. Read on to see our Bulls vs Pacers prediction.
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The Bulls Are Struggling
The Bulls come into this matchup after a 123-116 loss to the Charlotte Hornets last night, a game where Josh Giddey led Chicago with 25 points and nine assists, while Nikola Vucevic pulled down 14 rebounds. Despite strong individual performances, the Bulls faltered late, scoring just 22 points in the fourth quarter as Charlotte snapped its seven-game losing streak.
Chicago’s offense has been one of the league’s most potent, averaging 121.0 points per game (5th) while shooting 47.5% from the field (13th) and 37.1% from three (9th). Giddey has been the engine, averaging over 20 points per game while also distributing at a high level. Vucevic continues to be a force on the glass, helping the Bulls rank 5th in rebounds at 46.2 per game. Matas Buzelis and Coby White have provided scoring depth, giving Chicago multiple weapons to stretch defenses.
Defensively, however, the Bulls have struggled, allowing 124.2 points per game (28th) and ranking near the bottom in rebounding defense at 47.4 boards allowed per game (26th). While they contest shots reasonably well (47.0% opponent FG, 17th), their inability to consistently close possessions has been costly. Against Indiana, Chicago’s challenge will be to maintain defensive focus while relying on their offensive firepower to carry them through.
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Pacers Grab A Rare Win
Indiana enters this contest fresh off a 119-86 win over the Washington Wizards last night, a dominant performance where Pascal Siakam posted 24 points and 11 rebounds, and Bennedict Mathurin added 20 points. The Pacers controlled the game from start to finish, snapping a three-game losing streak and improving to 3-16 on the season.
Offensively, Indiana has struggled overall, ranking 28th in points per game (110.2) and dead last in both field-goal percentage (42.2%) and three-point shooting (31.7%). Siakam has been their most reliable scorer at nearly 24 points per game, while Mathurin provides perimeter scoring and energy. Injuries have ravaged the roster, with Tyrese Haliburton sidelined for the season after tearing his Achilles in last year’s playoffs, leaving the Pacers without their primary playmaker. T.J. McConnell has stepped up as a distributor, but the team’s offensive efficiency remains limited.
Defensively, Indiana has been inconsistent, allowing 119.6 points per game (23rd), though they’ve been surprisingly effective at defending the three, holding opponents to 31.6% from deep (best in the NBA). Their rebounding sits at 47.8 per game (27th), and while Siakam and Isaiah Jackson provide interior presence, the team struggles to contain elite scorers. Against Chicago’s high-powered offense, Indiana will need to lean on its perimeter defense and hope its offense can generate enough production to keep pace.
Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers Pick
Bulls vs Pacers Spread Pick
Chicago -4 (5 Units)
Chicago -4 feels like the right side because the Bulls’ offense has been one of the most explosive in the league, averaging 121 points per game (5th) while shooting 47.5% from the field and 37.1% from three. Josh Giddey has stepped into a starring role, consistently creating offense both as a scorer and distributor, while Nikola Vucevic continues to dominate the glass, helping Chicago rank 5th in rebounds at 46.2 per game. With Matas Buzelis and Coby White providing additional scoring punch, the Bulls have multiple weapons that can stretch Indiana’s defense. Against a Pacers team that ranks 28th in offensive efficiency and struggles to shoot from deep, Chicago’s firepower should be enough to build and maintain a lead.
On the defensive side, the Bulls have been shaky, allowing 124.2 points per game (28th), but Indiana’s offense hasn’t shown the consistency to fully exploit that weakness. The Pacers are shooting just 42.2% from the field (30th) and 31.7% from three (30th), which plays directly into Chicago’s hands. Even if the game turns into a track meet, the Bulls’ superior scoring depth and rebounding edge give them the tools to control tempo and pull away late. Laying the four points feels justified, as Chicago’s offensive ceiling is simply higher than Indiana’s, and the Pacers’ inability to keep pace offensively makes this a favorable spot for the Bulls.
Bulls vs Pacers Over/Under Pick
- Under 244 (4 Units)
The Under 244 lines up well with the circumstances. Both Chicago and Indiana are coming off games the night before, which usually means a slower pace and heavier legs on offense. The Bulls have been an elite scoring team at 121 points per game, but they also give up a ton defensively, and fatigue often shows up in missed shots rather than defensive lapses. Indiana, meanwhile, has struggled offensively all season, ranking 28th in scoring at 110.2 points per game and shooting just 42.2% from the field. Combine that with the Pacers’ track record — they’ve gone 7-12 to the Under this year — and this matchup sets up as one where both teams are more likely to grind through possessions than trade buckets at a breakneck pace.
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