Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets Picks and Prediction for Monday, November 3, 2025
The Houston Rockets look to extend their three-game winning streak when they host the Dallas Mavericks at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center. Dallas enters at 2-4 after a 122-110 loss to the Detroit Pistons in Mexico City, while Houston stands at 3-2 after a commanding 128-101 win over the Boston Celtics. Your quick scout — NBA picks for Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets, you can act on.
Mavericks Try To Regain Rhythm After Road Loss
Dallas has lost four of its first six games, scoring an average of 107.8 points while shooting 44.5 percent from the field. They were outscored 35-17 in the fourth quarter of their last game and lost 122-110 to Detroit. D'Angelo Russell scored 31 points off the bench to lead Dallas, and rookie Cooper Flagg chipped in 16, but the Mavericks couldn't provide enough resistance to a season-high 33 points and 10 rebounds by the Pistons' Jalen Duren. Dallas allowed 62 points in the paint, exposing issues down low that have been a recurring problem early in the season.
The Mavericks average 43.4 rebounds and 23.2 assists through six games, with 7.6 steals and 5.2 blocks. But inconsistency inside and the absence of key starters have made winning tough. Their two wins came in high-scoring tussles against Toronto and Indiana, but in defeats, the defense has let in an average of 114 points.
The injury situation continues to challenge Dallas. Anthony Davis is out until November 5 with a leg injury, while Dereck Lively II and Dante Exum are also out injured. Kyrie Irving, recovering from offseason surgery, remains out until January.
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Rockets Look To Extend Hot Streak
Houston has bounced back from a poor start, winning three straight games by an average margin of 20 points. The Rockets average 127.8 points per game, which is among the league's best through the first two weeks. Houston is shooting 49.4 percent from the field. In their latest win, a 128-101 blowout of Boston, Kevin Durant led with 26 points in just three quarters. Amen Thompson scored 17 points and grabbed 9 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun came close to a triple-double with 16 points, 10 rebounds, and nine assists.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ricky Tran | +952.00 |
| 2 |  Mike Lundin | +376.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +300.00 |
| 4 |  Bruce Marshall | +247.00 |
| 5 |  Ben Burns | +190.00 |
The Rockets' offense is leading the league with 25.5 assists per game and has done a very effective job of pushing the pace. Houston also maintains a plus-four rebounding margin, pulling down 47.3 boards per night. Defensively, they've forced 9.8 steals per game, creating easy transition points and fast-break opportunities. Durant has continued to pace the Rockets, averaging 27.5 points per game while shooting 52.2 percent from the field and 84.6 percent from the free-throw line.
Houston hasn't been hit nearly as hard by injury problems as Dallas, but Dorian Finney-Smith will be out until November 3 and Fred VanVleet (ACL) is out for the season. F Jabari Smith Jr. (ankle) is ?
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets Pick
Spread Pick for Mavericks vs. Rockets
- Houston Rockets -3 (4 Units)
Houston's current run of form puts them firmly in the driver's seat for this matchup. The Rockets have piled in an average of 127.8 points through a three-game win streak while shooting almost 50 percent from the floor. Meanwhile, Dallas has yielded 114 points per game in defeats and continues to be without key defenders in the paint. Without Anthony Davis or Dereck Lively II, it should prove tough for Dallas to contain Alperen Sengun in the paint and limit Kevin Durant's shooting. A rebounding advantage of 47.3 to 43.4 also leans towards the Rockets, as does their defensive pressure against a Dallas team that has struggled with late turnovers - recording 9.8 steals per outing. Houston's momentum dictates that they should be able to control pace from the opening tip. With momentum on their side, the Rockets have the talent to cover the spread at Toyota Center.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,502.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
| 3 | Brick Haus Sports | +634.00 |
| 4 |  David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Over/Under Pick for Mavericks vs. Rockets
- Over 234.5 (5 Units)
Both teams trend toward high totals early in the season. Houston’s offense is averaging 127.8 points in its last three outings while shooting 49.4 percent overall. Dallas, despite its struggles, has reached or topped 110 points in four of six games. The absence of key defenders on both sides, particularly Davis and Lively for Dallas, should open up the interior for Houston. Dallas is 5th in pace of play so they want to push the ball as much as possible.
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