Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 1, 2025
Use Code SSWC In a Saturday night non-conference affair in the Motor City, the Detroit Pistons play host to the Dallas Mavericks in NBA Group Play. The Cooper Flagg era in Dallas (2-3) began with two losses, but they have won two of their last three games, and the Pistons (3-2) have won three of their last four games. Hit the hardwood flying in this detailed Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons prediction.
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Mavericks Bench Steps Up in Win
The injury-riddled Mavericks were at home in their last game, getting 64 points off the bench, in a 107-105 win over another injury-depleted team in the Indiana Pacers. It was close because the Mavs were killed on the offensive glass (19-7), and they held the Pacers to 34.9% shooting and 28.9% 3-pt shooting while they shot 45.6% and only 20.8% from deep. Reserves Dwight Powell and Brandon Williams combined for 38 points, and Cooper Flagg had his second double-double of the season with 15 points and 10 rebounds. Dallas failed to cover as a 6-point favorite after covering the spread in their previous two games.
Leading scorer and rebounder Anthony Davis (20.8 ppg, 10.2 rpg) left the last game early with a leg injury and is listed as day-to-day (edit: now is out). P.J. Washington (15.2 ppg, 8.2 rpg) is the second leading scorer and after going for at least 15 points in the first four games, he had a season low nine points on 25% shooting in the last game. Flagg’s (13.4 pp,g 6.2 rpg) rookie season had been up and down, and he has scored at least 15 points in two of the last three games on solid shooting. In the one game he did not, he scored two points on 11.1% shooting. This game against the Pistons will be the first road game for the Mavs.
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Injuries
- Anthony Davis – day-to-day
- Derrick Lively – day-to-day
- Daniel Gafford – Out
- Dante Exum – Out
Pistons Blow Up for Season High in Win
In their last game, the Pistons were at home and went for a season high in points in a 135-116 win over the Orlando Magic. Detroit was up by as 24 points, and they shot 49.5% from the floor and 40.6% from beyond the 3-point arc while holding the Magic to 45.8% shooting and 38.7% 3-point shooting. All five starters went for at least 12 points, Tobias Harris and Cade Cunningham combined for 53 points, and Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, and Cunningham all had a double-double. The Pistons easily covered as a 2-point underdog, and they are 3-1 ATS in their last four games.
Cunningham (22.2 ppg) leads a balanced team with seven players averaging in double figures, and he had not shot well in two games before going 50% from the floor in the last one. Duren (14.8 ppg 10 rpg) has at least 21 points and 13 boards in two of the last three games. Harris (14 ppg) has gone for at least 18 points in two of the last three games. Detroit ranks sixth in the league in rebounds per game, and that is not good for the Mavs, who were dominated on the offensive glass in their last game and are likely without some key big men. On the season, the Pistons are 2-1 at home.
Injuries
- Marcus Sasser – Out
- Jaden Ivey – Out
Mavericks vs. Pistons Pick
Spread Pick Mavericks vs. Pistons
- Pistons (+4 Units)
The Pistons have won three of four games, and the Mavericks have won two of three games. However, Dallas is really banged up, and leading scorer and rebounder AD left the last game with an injury. The Mavs held the Pacers to only 34.9% shooting in the last game and still only won by two points, as they were outrebounded on the offensive glass 19-7. The Pistons are one of the better rebounding teams in the league, and they will get their second chances. In terms of the Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons prediction, the Mavs will miss key players while Detroit is relatively healthy, and they are the pick to win and cover in their house.
Over/Under Pick for Mavericks vs. Pistons
- Under (+4 Units)
The total has gone Under for the Mavs' last two games and four of their five, and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this one. Dallas was killed on the boards in their last game, and while they held their opponents to under 35%, they still gave up 105 points. The Pistons blew up for a season-high 135 points in their last game, but they are not a high-scoring team. That is even more so the case for Dallas, which ranks third to last in ppg , and they may be without their top scorer in this game. This not-conference affair will be a lower-scoring affair, so the Under is the pick.
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