Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday January 19 2026
Dallas vs New York picks are front and center on Monday night as the Mavericks travel to Madison Square Garden in a matchup loaded with injury questions and recent form concerns. From a betting standpoint, this game stands out because the market is asking you to lay double digits with a Knicks team that has not been playing well, which makes this a tricky spot for anyone building NBA tickets or searching for sharp NBA picks.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Dallas +10
- Total: Under 229
- Projected Final Score: New York 114, Dallas 106
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Dallas vs New York
- New York is 4-8 straight-up and 2-10 against the spread since beating Cleveland on Christmas Day.
- The Knicks have lost three straight games entering this matchup.
- Over the last 15 games, New York ranks 22nd in net rating and 27th in defensive rating.
- Dallas has won three of its last four games, including a two-game sweep of Utah.
- The Knicks won 113-111 in Dallas earlier this season, but the Mavericks stayed within the number as an 8.5-point underdog.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas | +10 (-110) | Over 229 (-115) |
| New York | -10 (-110) | Under 229 (-105) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Dallas | New York |
|---|---|---|
| 01/18 | +10 (-110) | -10 (-110) |
| 01/18 | +10 (-108) | -10 (-112) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 01/18 | 229 (-115) | 229 (-105) |
Team vs Team Game Preview and Analysis: Dallas vs New York
The Knicks earned a narrow 113-111 road win in Dallas back in mid-November, but that final score is misleading from a betting perspective. Dallas covered comfortably as an 8.5-point home underdog in that contest, and the game stayed under the total thanks to a sluggish first quarter. Prior to that meeting, five straight matchups between these teams had gone over, which shows how much pace and scoring can swing depending on game flow.
New York enters this matchup in poor form. Since Christmas Day, the Knicks have struggled badly against the number and have dropped three straight games outright. Their most recent loss was a seven-point defeat at home against Phoenix, and that game came without Josh Hart and Jalen Brunson, both of whom are questionable again here. Over the last 15 games, New York has been near the bottom of the league defensively, which is not the profile you want when laying double digits.
Dallas has been playing better basketball, winning three of its last four, including a two-game sweep of Utah over the weekend. However, this is not a clean spot for the Mavericks either. This is a quirky travel situation after four straight home games, a flight to New York, and then an immediate return to Dallas for more home dates. Even more important is the injury report, which leaves Dallas extremely thin.
With multiple rotation players ruled out, it is hard to back Dallas with confidence on the moneyline. That said, it is also very difficult for me to justify laying ten points with a Knicks team that is not defending well and is dealing with its own injury uncertainty. My power ratings line up with the market number, but situationally, the underdog makes more sense.
Key Injuries and Notes (DAL and NYK)
- Dallas: Daniel Gafford, D'Angelo Russell, P.J. Washington, and Anthony Davis are all ruled out.
- Dallas: Cooper Flagg is listed as questionable.
- New York: Josh Hart and Jalen Brunson are questionable.
Final Score Prediction
New York 114, Dallas 106
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS: Dallas +10
- Total: Under 229
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