Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Picks, Odds and Line Movement for December 3 2025
The Denver vs Indiana matchup tips off tonight, bringing together two teams trending upward as bettors look for an edge in this Western vs Eastern Conference clash.
Below we break down the odds, movement, key matchups, and projections for this game. For more insight across the league, check out the latest NBA picks.
Quick Picks and Prediction for Nuggets vs Pacers
- Spread Pick: Under 235.5
- Total Pick: Denver -7.5
- Projected Final Score: Nuggets 116, Pacers 108
Pacers vs Nuggets Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Denver | Indiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5/-106 | +7.5/-114 |
| Total | 233.5 o -110 | 233.5 u -110 |
Current Odds
| Denver | Indiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5/-110 | +7.5/-110 |
| Total | 235.5 o -110 | 235.5 u -110 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Denver | Indiana | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03 | 02:52:03am | -7.5/-110 | +7.5/-110 | |
| 12/02 | 07:17:18pm | -7.5/-106 | +7.5/-114 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03 | 02:52:03am | 235.5 o -110 | 235.5 u -110 | |
| 12/02 | 00:34:40am | 236 o -106 | 236 u -114 | |
| 12/02 | 10:04:46pm | 236.5 o -120 | 236.5 u +100 | |
| 12/02 | 07:29:33pm | 235.5 o -110 | 235.5 u -110 |
Denver vs Indiana Key Matchups and Handicap
Denver has completely flipped its season script over the last three weeks. The Nuggets have won seven straight road games (6-1 ATS) while simultaneously losing four straight at home. Their most recent home win? Against these Pacers nearly a month ago.
The Nuggets won that meeting 117-100 behind dominant paint play and better late-game execution. Denver’s defensive approach proved effective, holding Indiana below 105 despite the Pacers typically pushing tempo.
Indiana enters this game having covered six of its last seven, and while the Pacers are trending up, this particular matchup creates issues. Denver can smother opponents with size, rebounding, and defensive efficiency in the half-court — all areas where Indiana tends to struggle against physical teams.
The Nuggets' injury list remains relevant: Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun are expected to remain out, while Jamal Murray is questionable with an ankle injury. Without Murray at full strength, Denver is unlikely to choose a high-possession game. They will look to control tempo, lean on Nikola Jokic’s facilitation, and own the glass.
Four of the last five meetings between these teams have stayed under the total, and the matchup leans that way again. Denver’s first game of a four-game road trip suggests a slower pace, especially with Murray potentially limited.
Betting Trends: DEN vs IND
- DEN: 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in last seven road games
- DEN: 4 of last 5 meetings have gone Under
- IND: 6-1 ATS in last seven games
Key Injuries and Notes: DEN vs IND
- DEN: Aaron Gordon (out), Christian Braun (out), Jamal Murray (questionable)
- IND: No new major injuries reported
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS Pick: Denver -7.5
- Total Pick: Under 235.5
Final Score Prediction
Nuggets 116, Pacers 108
Stats to Know for Denver vs Indiana
- Denver is 7-0 SU in its last seven road games.
- Indiana has allowed 115+ points in 5 of its last 7 matchups with Denver.
- Four of the last five meetings have stayed under the closing total.
- Denver is allowing just 7.2 points per fourth quarter over its last two games.