Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Prediction for Wednesday November 11 2026

Denver heads to Memphis on Wednesday night for an 8 PM ET game against the Grizzlies at FedExForum. The Nuggets just lost in Houston, while Memphis went into Toronto and won by 16. That’s a pretty interesting setup. Denver has the talent to win anywhere, but Memphis has been playing good basketball and should be feeling pretty confident coming home. Verified betting lines were unavailable when this preview was prepared. I lean toward Denver, but I wouldn’t be shocked if the Grizzlies made this a four-quarter game. Make sure you are aware of all the games and picks by checking out our free NBA picks.

Denver Needs to Get Its Offense Going Again

Denver is 5-4 after losing 110-100 to Houston on Monday. The Nuggets had beaten Indiana 114-102 on Saturday, so they were hoping to put together another win. Instead, the offense struggled against Houston’s defense. Denver scored only 100 points, well below its season average. That’s not something I’d expect to happen every night, but it’s a reminder that the Nuggets aren’t unbeatable.

Denver has been averaging around 115 points per game and allowing about 113. The offense has been good when the ball is moving and the Nuggets are getting quality looks. The trouble comes when they get stuck playing too much one-on-one basketball. Memphis has been defending reasonably well, so Denver needs to make the Grizzlies work. The Nuggets can’t afford another night where they spend too much time trying to create something late in the shot clock.

Nikola Jokic remains the player everything runs through. Denver needs him involved as a scorer and passer, particularly when Memphis tries to crowd the paint. Jamal Murray also has to be aggressive. If those two are getting good looks and making the defense react, Denver becomes a much tougher team to stop. The Nuggets need a better offensive performance than they got in Houston, and I think they’re capable of it.

Memphis Has Been Getting the Job Done

Memphis is 7-3 after beating Toronto 118-102 on Monday. The Grizzlies have won seven of their first ten games, and they’ve been getting contributions throughout the lineup. That Toronto game was a good example. Memphis led by six at halftime and gradually pulled away. Nothing particularly flashy. Just solid basketball.

The Grizzlies have been averaging around 118 points per game and allowing about 112. That’s a pretty good combination, and it explains why they’ve been winning. Memphis has also been playing with more energy defensively than Denver has shown at times. The Grizzlies aren’t perfect, but they’ve been doing a good job turning defensive stops into easy baskets. Denver needs to be careful with the ball because Memphis will take advantage of careless passes.

Ty Jerome scored 27 points against Toronto, giving Memphis a big lift offensively. That’s the kind of production the Grizzlies need against Denver. They can’t rely on one player to carry everything, especially with the Nuggets capable of scoring in bunches. Memphis needs to keep moving the ball and getting good shots. The Grizzlies have been doing that pretty well so far.

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Denver Nuggets

I’m taking Denver, although this isn’t one I’d call a sure thing. Memphis is 7-3, just won by 16 on the road, and has been playing good basketball. There’s plenty to like about the Grizzlies.

But I think Denver responds after that loss in Houston. The Nuggets scored only 100, and I don’t expect them to have another game where the offense struggles that badly. Jokic gives Denver a way to control the game when things get tight, and Murray can get hot in a hurry. Memphis has the better record, but I like Denver’s chances of winning a close one.

Total Pick: Over —  

I lean over. Memphis has been scoring around 118 points a game, and Denver is averaging about 115. Both teams have enough offensive ability to get into the 120s when things are working. The danger is that Denver just scored 100 against Houston, and Memphis has been playing some decent defense. But I think the Nuggets will have a better shooting night, and the Grizzlies should be able to score at home. Something around 121-117 Denver feels reasonable. I’d need to see the actual total before betting.

Final Picks: Denver Nuggets Moneyline | Over (pending verified total)

Disclaimer: Completed November 10, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting lineups may change before tipoff.