Free NBA Prop Best Bets For Friday, October 31
Friday night’s NBA slate is loaded with exciting prop opportunities. We’ve dug into player stats, matchups, and usage trends to uncover three top prop bets offering strong value and profit potential. The numbers point to an edge — it’s time to capitalize and cash in on the hardwood tonight!
Struggling to pick winners in the NBA? We have the best NBA Predictions available.
NBA Prop Best Bet #1: Tyrese Maxey Over 29.5 Points Scored
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Tyrese Maxey’s scoring prop of 29.5 points is set below his current production pace, making the over a strong angle in tonight’s matchup with Boston. Maxey has been the centerpiece of Philadelphia’s offense, averaging 37.5 points per game this season and clearing 30 in five of his first six contests. With Joel Embiid sidelined, his usage rate has spiked dramatically, and he’s consistently logging 20+ shot attempts per night. Even against elite defenses, Maxey’s combination of speed, three-point shooting, and relentless attacking has made him nearly impossible to contain. Boston’s defense is one of the league’s best, but their scheme often forces opposing stars into high-volume scoring roles. Maxey has already proven he can thrive against this matchup, dropping 34 points on 12-of-23 shooting in their season opener. With the Celtics’ offense capable of putting up points quickly, Philadelphia will need Maxey to shoulder the scoring load to keep pace. His ability to score at all three levels, combined with his heavy minutes and shot volume, gives him multiple paths to clear this number.
👉 Bottom line: With his season average well above the line, proven success against Boston, and a usage rate that ensures volume, the Over 29.5 points for Tyrese Maxey is a strong play tonight.
NBA Prop Best Bet#2: Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Rebounds
Luka Dončić’s rebounding prop of 8.5 boards is a strong over target given both his season averages and the matchup against Memphis. Dončić has been dominant on the glass for a guard, averaging 11.5 rebounds per game this season, well above tonight’s line. He’s cleared 9 rebounds in four of his first five games, and his size and physicality allow him to consistently crash the defensive glass while also grabbing a few on the offensive end. With Memphis ranking in the bottom third of the league in rebounding differential, Dončić should have plenty of opportunities to pad his totals.
The Grizzlies’ style of play also favors Luka’s rebounding upside. Memphis plays at a fast pace, creating more shot attempts and rebound chances overall. They’ve also been without key frontcourt depth due to injuries, which has left them vulnerable on the boards. Dončić’s ability to initiate the break after securing rebounds is a key part of Dallas’ offense, so his minutes and role naturally funnel him toward double-digit rebounding opportunities.
👉 Bottom line: With his season average sitting well above the posted number and Memphis struggling on the glass, the Over 8.5 rebounds for Luka Dončić is a strong play in tonight’s matchup.
NBA Prop Best Bet #3: Kawhi Leonard Over 23.5 Points Scored
Kawhi Leonard’s scoring prop of 23.5 points is set in a favorable range considering both his recent form and the matchup with New Orleans. Leonard has averaged 24.6 points over his last 10 games, clearing 23 in six of those contests. His efficiency remains elite—shooting over 50% from the field this season—and he’s been particularly effective in half-court sets, where the Clippers lean on him as their primary scorer. Against the Pelicans, Leonard should see steady usage, especially with New Orleans ranking in the middle of the pack defensively against wings. The Pelicans’ defense has struggled to contain versatile scorers, and Leonard’s ability to create his own shot from mid-range or attack mismatches makes him a tough cover. With Paul George and James Harden drawing defensive attention, Leonard often benefits from single coverage, which allows him to operate efficiently. In their last three meetings, he’s averaged 26.3 points per game, showing he can consistently exploit this matchup. Given his minutes load and the Clippers’ reliance on him in close games, the opportunities will be there for him to surpass this line.
👉 Bottom line: With his scoring average trending above the posted number, proven success against New Orleans, and a high-usage role in the Clippers’ offense, the Over 23.5 points for Kawhi Leonard is a strong play tonight.
Recapping Today's NBA Prop Best Bets
- Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia) Over 29.5 Points Scored (-120)
- Luka Doncic (Lakers) Over 8.5 Rebounds (-118)
- Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) over 23.5 Points Scored (-111)
Mike Lundin
Rob Vinciletti
Nick Parsons
Stephen Nover
Tom Macrina