Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, November 11, 2026

On Wednesday, Golden State visit the Toyota Center for a 9:30 pm ET (ESPN) start against Houston in a Western Conference showdown. The Warriors and Rockets are both 8-3 and second in their respective divisions. Golden State is riding an eight-game winning streak, following a 138-87 rout of the New Orleans Pelicans. The Rockets beat Denver last time out 110-100, snapping a two-game losing skid. Golden State is 2-2 in four games on the road and Houston is 5-1 in six at home. Looking for the right play? Check out our free NBA picks.

Golden State Piling Up the Wins

Golden State put on a shooting clinic Monday against New Orleans, cruising to a 138-87 victory at Chase Center. The Warriors were already ahead by 29 points at halftime, and the Pelicans never got close. Stephen Curry and Brandin Podziemski finished with 25 points each, while Yaxel Lendeborg chipped in 23. Curry needed barely 20 minutes to do his damage. The Warriors also finished with 37 assists, their third consecutive game with at least 30. Golden State is averaging 118.6 points while allowing 111.2.

Curry continues to light up opposing defenses, putting up 31.3 points per game and connecting on 44.7% of his three-point attempts. Lendeborg has given the Warriors another dependable scorer with 21.2 points and 7.2 rebounds. Podziemski adds 15.8 points, and Draymond Green leads the passing game with 7.8 assists. Golden State makes an average of 16.0 three-pointers and 28.2 assists per game. That makes it difficult for opponents to double-team players.

Injuries: Gary Payton II and Brandon Williams are game-time decisions. Will Richard, Kristaps Porzingis and Moses Moody are out.

Houston Trying to Build Momentum

Houston’s 16-point third-quarter lead disappeared before the start of the fourth quarter. The Rockets, however, were able to bounce back and take back control of the game, resulting in a 10-point win over the Nuggets. Kevin Durant scored 23 to lead the Rockets against Denver. Alperen Sengun scored 20. The win followed consecutive losses to Minnesota and Phoenix. Houston is averaging 116.0 points and holding opponents to 106.4, giving the Rockets an advantage on defense in this game with Golden State.

Sengun has been the stats leader for the Rockets early this season, with averages of 21.5 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 7.8 assists. Durant is second to Sengun in scoring at 20.8 points, and Jabari Smith Jr. is making 47.5% of his three-point attempts, helping him average 17.3 points per game. The Rockets shoot 47.9% from the floor and average 6.1 blocks. Houston has also won five of six at Toyota Center, where its defense has helped keep opponents under control.

Injuries: Oscar Tshiebwe is a game-time decision. Clint Capela and Steven Adams are out.

Key To The Game

Houston has allowed only 106.4 points per game, but Golden State makes 16.0 threes and shares the ball exceptionally well. The Rockets need to disrupt those passes before Curry finds an open look. At the other end, Sengun's passing can pull defenders toward the paint and create chances for Durant and Smith.

Golden State vs Houston Game Pick

• Houston Rockets

Eight straight wins make Golden State difficult to oppose, especially with Curry scoring 31.3 per game. But Houston has been tough at Toyota Center, winning five of six, and its defense allows just 106.4 points. Houston also forces opponents to handle a disciplined, physical defensive front. Sengun gives the Rockets a scoring and passing threat inside, with Durant ready to punish smaller defenders. Golden State can overwhelm teams from three, yet Houston's size and ability to challenge shots should make those looks harder to find. The Warriors won't go quietly. Still, I'll take Houston to end their winning streak.

Golden State vs Houston Over/Under Pick

• Under

Golden State scored 138 last time out, so it might seem odd the under is the play at first. However, Houston allows just 106.4 points per game and on Monday gave up just 100 to Denver. The Rockets are not looking for a shootout to pick up a win. Sengun will control the glass for Houston, keeping second-look opportunities for Golden State at a minimum. The Warriors average 118.6 points, but the defense for Houston will make it tougher for Golden State to find open looks. I'm taking the under.