Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction and Picks - December 4, 2025
NBA action on Thursday evening, and we have a Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction locked and loaded for you. The Warriors enter this game after a 124-112 home loss to Oklahoma City and are now 11-11 on the year. Philadelphia comes in off an easy 121-102 home win over the Wizards to move to 11-9 on the year. These teams split the two meetings a year ago. Read on to see our Warriors vs 76ers prediction.
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Warriors Can't Hang With the Powerful Thunder
Golden State’s most recent outing was a 124–112 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on December 2, where Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander poured in 38 points and Chet Holmgren added 21 to hand the Warriors their 11th defeat of the season. Brandin Podziemski led the way with 17 points, while Seth Curry chipped in 14 in his debut, but Jimmy Butler exited at halftime with a sore knee and Stephen Curry remained sidelined.
Offensively, the Warriors have struggled to find rhythm without Steph, averaging 114.5 points per game (22nd) while shooting 45.1% from the field (26th). Their three‑point shooting has been respectable at 36.2% (14th), and they remain elite at the free‑throw line (82.4%, 5th). Podziemski and Buddy Hield have provided perimeter scoring, but the absence of Curry’s gravity has left Golden State relying on secondary options. Rebounding sits at 43 per game (21st), and while Draymond Green continues to facilitate, the offense has lacked consistency.
Defensively, Golden State has been better, allowing 114.1 points per game (11th) and holding opponents to 34.8% from three (8th). Still, they’ve been vulnerable inside, giving up 46.8% shooting overall (15th) and ranking 27th in opponent free‑throw percentage (80.5%). Injuries have compounded the issue, with Butler and Kuminga both day‑to‑day. The Warriors will need their depth to step up in Philadelphia, especially if Butler can’t go, as they try to avoid dropping below .500 again.
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Sixers Grab Easy Win Against Wizards
Philadelphia’s last game was a 121–102 win over the Washington Wizards on December 2, where Tyrese Maxey erupted for 35 points, including 20 in the third quarter. Paul George added timely shooting, and Andre Drummond posted a double‑double as the Sixers bounced back from a tough OT loss to the Hawks.
The Sixers’ offense has been strong all season, averaging 118.3 points per game (14th) while shooting 46.2% from the field (20th) and 36.4% from three (12th). Maxey has been the engine, averaging over 32 points per game across his last 10, while George and rookie VJ Edgecombe have provided secondary scoring. Free‑throw shooting has been reliable at 80.6% (8th), and rebounding sits at 44.6 per game (16th). Even with Joel Embiid day‑to‑day, the Sixers have shown they can spread the floor and attack in waves.
Defensively, Philadelphia has been inconsistent, allowing 118 points per game (22nd) despite ranking 7th in opponent three‑point percentage (34.5%). They’ve held opponents to 46.5% shooting (13th) and are strong at the line defensively (77.5%, 7th), but lapses in transition have hurt them. Oubre remains out, and Embiid’s status looms large, but Maxey’s scoring surge has kept them afloat. Against Golden State, the Sixers will look to push tempo and exploit the Warriors’ injury‑depleted rotation, leaning on Maxey’s hot hand and George’s two‑way play to secure another home win.
Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers Pick
Warriors vs 76ers Spread Pick
- Philadelphia -4 (5 Units)
Backing Philadelphia -4 makes sense given how well the Sixers have been playing at home and the way Tyrese Maxey has taken over games lately. In their 121–102 win over Washington, Maxey poured in 35 points and completely controlled the third quarter, while Paul George provided steady scoring and Andre Drummond anchored the glass. Even with Joel Embiid listed day‑to‑day, the Sixers have the depth to cover, averaging 118.3 points per game (14th) and shooting 36.4% from three (12th). Their free‑throw efficiency at 80.6% (8th) also gives them an edge in tight spots, and against a Warriors team missing Seth Curry and potentially Jimmy Butler, Philadelphia’s offensive balance should be enough to dictate pace.
Golden State has struggled without Steph, averaging just 114.5 points per game (22nd) while shooting 45.1% from the field (26th). Their defense has been respectable, holding opponents to 114.1 points per game (11th), but injuries have left them thin, and they’ve been vulnerable inside. Philadelphia’s ability to push tempo and attack mismatches, especially with Maxey’s scoring surge, puts them in a strong position to not only win but cover the spread. If Embiid suits up, the Sixers’ advantage grows even more, but even without him, their current form and home‑court edge make -4 a favorable play.
Warriors vs 76ers Over/Under Pick
- Over 223 (4 Units)
The Over 223 looks appealing because both Golden State and Philadelphia have been playing at a pace and efficiency that lends itself to higher totals. The Warriors average 114.5 points per game (22nd) but allow 114.1 (11th most), and their defensive issues inside often lead to shootouts. Philadelphia, meanwhile, scores 118.3 points per game (14th) while giving up 118.0 (22nd), with Tyrese Maxey’s scoring surge and Paul George’s perimeter shooting keeping their offense rolling even when Embiid is day‑to‑day. Both teams shoot around 36% from three and rank top‑10 in free‑throw percentage, which means points come quickly and efficiently. With Golden State’s injuries forcing them to lean on secondary scorers and the Sixers pushing tempo behind Maxey, this matchup has all the ingredients for a game that clears the 223 total.
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