Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings, Odds, Prediction and Picks for Wednesday, November 5, 2025
A pair of Pacific Division rivals clash mid-week in the NBA, so get ready with our Warriors vs. Kings predictions. Golden State (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) got hooked with a 114-109 loss at Indianapolis as -11 favorites on Saturday. Sacramento (2-5 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) fell at Denver on Monday, 130-124, as +11.5 underdogs. Tipoff from the Golden 1 Center is scheduled for 10:00 EST. Get all of our top NBA Predictions and increase your bankroll!
(This was published before the conclusion of Tuesday’s games.)
Warriors can’t solve road woes
The Warriors had a brief stop off at home on Tuesday night to face the Suns, but bookended that matchup with back-to-back road games on each side. They lost the two prior games in Milwaukee and Indiana, respectively.
The offense averaged 105.7 points over their three games before Tuesday, and through seven games this season, the Warriors’ offense put up 117.6 points per game, 14th in the league. They are shooting 46.8% from the field and hitting 16 threes a night, third most in the NBA. The team loses 16.4 turnovers per game, and its 1.70 assist-to-turnover ratio ranks 18th. Stephen Curry leads the team with 26.6 points per game on 46.5% shooting from the field. He is tied for second in the NBA with 4.3 three-pointers made each game. Jimmy Butler, adding 21.4 points a night, was questionable for Tuesday’s game with a back injury.
Golden State ranks 12th in the league in scoring defense, allowing 115.7 points per game. Teams are shooting 48.2% from the field against them and hitting 12.4 threes per game. Down low, the team is grabbing 41.9 rebounds a night and has a +0.8-rebound differential in their favor. The Warriors' defense averages 9.1 steals and 4 blocks per game, which has led them to snatching 14.3 turnovers from their opponents each time out. Jonathan Kuminga leads the team with 7.1 rebounds per game, but had only five in two of his last three games. Curry is picking off 1.7 steals a night, tied for 18th most in the league.
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Team notes
- Draymond Green has committed 28 fouls, sixth most in the NBA.
- Coming out of the half, Golden State is holding teams to 25.3 points in the third quarter, fourth best overall.
- The Warriors are getting 40.8% of their points from three-point shots, the fourth-highest mark in the league.
- Al Horford missed the team’s game on Tuesday night with a toe injury and will be a game-time decision in Sacramento.
Kings can’t get defense set
While offense hasn’t been an issue for the Kings, defense has been a different story. They return home after a 1-3 SU road trip and allowed over 125 points in each of their last three games.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Patty Reyes | +975.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +808.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vinciletti | +800.00 |
| 4 |  Jackie Mack | +728.00 |
| 5 |  Kevin V. | +655.00 |
Sacramento averaged 129.5 points in their last two games, and they come into this matchup averaging 116.3 points per game, 18th in the league. The team is shooting 48.7% from the field and averaging 11 threes per game, sixth fewest overall. They sit 11th in the league with a 1.94 assist-to-turnover ratio, and the Kings kick over 13.1 turnovers a game to the opposition. The team’s game on Monday was the first time that Zach LaVine did not lead the team in scoring. The Kings’ guard leads the team with 27.4 points per game on 51.6% shooting, with 3.3 threes per game, tied for 12th in the league.
On defense, Sacramento is yielding 121 points per game, tied for fourth most points allowed in the game. Opponents hit 12.3 threes per game and shoot 50.1% from the field against the Kings on a nightly basis. Sac has retained 45 rebounds per game but still has a -6.1-rebound differential working against them. They are forcing 14.1 turnovers from teams via 9.6 steals and 3.6 blocks per game. Domantas Sabonis leads the NBA with 14.2 rebounds per game and averages a double-double with 14.5 points a night. Dennis Schroder is the team’s steals leader with 1.6 per game.
Team notes
- Sabonis has recorded a double-double in all six games, tied for the most in the NBA.
- The team averages 63 first-half points each game, fifth best in the league.
- The Kings foul their opponent 20.6 times per game, on average, the fifth-lowest mark in the NBA.
- Malik Monk missed the team’s last two games due to personal reasons, and he was listed as a game-time decision on the most recent injury report.
Warriors vs. Kings Picks
Spread Pick for Warriors vs. Kings
- Kings to cover (4 units)
These two split their four-game regular season series last year, but Golden State was 3-1 ATS. The Warriors opened the season with a win against the Lakers on the road but have since gone 0-3 SU and ATS away from home, losing by an average margin of 11.7 points per game. The Kings just spent the last week playing four games on the road, so returning home should be a nice respite for them. This will be the first time this season that Golden State is playing on back-to-back nights, and then the club will be traveling to Sacramento, which is never easy for their weary veteran bones at this stage. They are a bit more banged up to begin with. That should also allow Sacramento a lane to take over on the blocks. Golden State has no answer for Sabonis, so the Kings can gain an advantage on the glass. They went 3-1 ATS in their last four games.
Take the Kings.
Over/Under Pick for Warriors vs. Kings
- Over (5 units)
Things got pretty offensive when these two met last season as they combined to average 235.5 points per game. One of the teams scored at least 123 points in each of the meetings. These two sit right in the middle of the league in scoring, but each can light it up if given the chance. Both teams also have a pair of 20-point scorers leading the charge. Golden State scored at least 118 points in four games this season. Sacramento put up at least 120 points in three of their last five games. Both teams are in the middle of the pace in terms of pace. DunksandThrees.com has Golden State ranked 19th, averaging 100.8 possessions per 48 minutes, while the Kings are 15th with 101.9 possessions per 48 minutes. These numbers are still balancing themselves out in the early goings of the season, but these two teams have shown the ability to push things a bit more if defense is not a factor. Given where Sacramento is on that end of things, the Warriors shouldn’t see too much resistance and should be willing to go shot-for-shot with their division rival. The over is 6-3-1 in the last ten meetings between the teams.
Take the over.
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