Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday January 26 2026
Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks picks take center stage for early Monday action, with this matchup moving to a 1:30 PM ET tip and offering plenty of angles for NBA picks. Recent head to head trends, shifting form, and a surprising spot on the schedule all combine to make this game more interesting than the opening line suggests.
TLDR - Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Atlanta -5
- Total Pick: Under 234.5
- Projected Final Score: Atlanta 118, Indiana 110
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Stats to Know and Betting Trends for Indiana vs Atlanta
- Atlanta has won and covered each of the last three meetings against Indiana.
- Seven of the last nine Hawks vs Pacers meetings have gone over the total.
- The under is 8-2 in Indiana’s last ten games.
- The under is 7-3 in Atlanta’s last ten games.
- Over the last 15 games, Atlanta ranks top-10 in defensive rating.
- Indiana ranks last in offensive rating, effective field goal percentage, and true shooting percentage.
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Indiana | +5 (-110) | Over 234.5 (-110) |
| Atlanta | -5 (-110) | Under 234.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Indiana | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|
| 01/25 | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-110) |
| 01/26 | +5 (-110) | -5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 01/25 | 232.5 (-110) | 232.5 (-110) |
| 01/26 | 234.5 (-110) | 234.5 (-110) |
Indiana vs Atlanta Game Preview and Analysis
This game comes at a strange point for both teams. Indiana is in the middle of a long road trip and just pulled off one of the biggest surprises of the week with a win in Oklahoma City as a massive underdog. That result followed a brutal 43-point loss to Detroit, showing how volatile the Pacers have been lately.
Atlanta, on the other hand, appears to be stabilizing after a rough stretch. The Hawks have won back to back games over Memphis and Phoenix, and their defense has quietly improved. Over the last 15 games, Atlanta sits inside the top-10 in defensive rating, a big shift from earlier in the season.
The early start time also matters. This is Indiana’s fifth game of the trip, and asking them to bring strong offensive energy again after an emotional win is a tall order. Even with a potential return from Bennedict Mathurin, Indiana’s offense has been the worst in the league by several advanced shooting metrics.
Atlanta is missing some key pieces, but their recent defensive effort combined with Indiana’s scoring issues points strongly toward a slower, more controlled game than the number suggests.
Key Injuries and Notes (IND vs ATL)
- Atlanta: Zaccharie Risacher remains out while on a G League rehab assignment.
- Atlanta: Kristaps Porzingis has not played since January 7 and remains out.
- Indiana: Bennedict Mathurin is questionable after missing time with a thumb injury.
- Indiana: Quenton Jackson is also listed as questionable.
Final Score Prediction
Atlanta 118, Indiana 110
ATS and Total Picks
- Atlanta -5
- Under 234.5
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