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LA Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks, and Odds Movement for December 18 2025

By: Kyle Kargel Published 12/18/2025, 09:21 AM ET

Clippers vs Thunder picks headline Thursday night NBA action, and I am breaking down this Western Conference matchup as part of my NBA picks coverage with Los Angeles visiting Oklahoma City.

TLDR - Picks and Prediction

  • Spread: Oklahoma City -17.5
  • Total: Over 220
  • Projected Final Score: Thunder 123, Clippers 104

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Stats to Know for Clippers vs Thunder

  • Oklahoma City is 6-0 straight-up and 5-0-1 against the spread in the last six meetings with the Clippers.
  • The Clippers are 1-9 straight-up and 3-7 against the spread in their last ten games.
  • The under is 6-2 in the Clippers’ last eight games.
  • Oklahoma City is 10-7 against the spread as a double-digit favorite this season.

Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
LA Clippers +17.5 (-110) Over 220 (-110)
Oklahoma City -17.5 (-110) Under 220 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date LA Clippers Oklahoma City
12/18 +17.5 (-112) -17.5 (-108)
12/17 +18 (-110) -18 (-110)
12/17 +15.5 (-110) -15.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Over Under
12/18 220 (-110) 220 (-110)
12/17 219 (-110) 219 (-110)
12/17 221 (-110) 221 (-110)

Clippers vs Thunder Game Preview and Analysis

Oklahoma City has owned this matchup recently, going 6-0 straight-up and 5-0-1 against the spread in the last six meetings, including a 19-point road win in Los Angeles back in early November. The Thunder enter this contest with far more stability than a Clippers team that has struggled mightily over the last few weeks.

Los Angeles is just 1-9 straight-up in its last ten games, with the lone win coming against Atlanta on December 3. The offense has been particularly problematic during that stretch, and injuries have only compounded the issue. James Harden has been ruled out for this game, removing a primary ball-handler and late-clock option from the lineup.

Oklahoma City is coming off its first loss in over two weeks, as its 16-game winning streak was snapped in the NBA Cup semifinals by San Antonio. Even with that loss, the Thunder remain one of the league’s most reliable teams when laying big numbers, posting a 10-7 record against the spread as a double-digit favorite this season.

While Oklahoma City will be without Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein, the Thunder still hold a clear depth and efficiency advantage. The absence of Hartenstein could open up some interior opportunities for Ivica Zubac, which is part of the reason I am more interested in the total than I normally would be with the Clippers.

Harden’s absence could also subtly change the tempo. His preferred style often slows games down, and without him, the Clippers may play with a bit more pace and flow. That should help push scoring opportunities even if Los Angeles continues to struggle with overall offensive efficiency.

  • LA Clippers are 3-7 against the spread in their last ten games.
  • Oklahoma City is 5-0-1 against the spread in the last six meetings with the Clippers.
  • The under is 6-2 in the Clippers’ last eight games.

Key Injuries and Notes (LAC and OKC)

  • Clippers: James Harden has been ruled out.
  • Thunder: Jaylin Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein are expected to miss this game.

Final Score Prediction

Oklahoma City 123, LA Clippers 104

ATS and Total Picks

  • Spread: Oklahoma City -17.5
  • Total: Over 220
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