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Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday February 26 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 02/26/2026, 11:13 AM ET
Lakers vs Suns prediction

Lakers vs Suns picks are on the board tonight, and if you are searching for sharp NBA predictions, this Western Conference matchup deserves a close look. Phoenix has taken two of the first three meetings, but the current form and injury report tell a different story heading into this one.

TLDR - Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Lakers -5.5
  • Total Pick: Under 220.5
  • Projected Final Score: Lakers 109, Suns 101

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  • Phoenix has won two of the first three meetings this season.
  • The Suns have lost four of their last five games.
  • Over the last five games, Phoenix has scored just 94.8 points per game.
  • Phoenix scored only 35 second-half points in a 16-point home loss to Boston.
  • The Lakers went 4-4 straight-up and 3-5 against the spread during their recent homestand.
  • Over the last 10 games, the Suns rank 28th in offensive rating, 25th in assist rate and last in effective field goal percentage.

Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds

Market L.A. Lakers Phoenix
Spread -5.5 (-110) +5.5 (-110)
Total Over 220.5 (-108) Under 220.5 (-112)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time L.A. Lakers Phoenix Public
02/25 03:15:27PM -4.5 (-110) +4.5 (-110)
02/26 10:54:45AM -5.5 (-110) +5.5 (-110) LAL 100%, LAL 100%

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public
02/25 03:15:27PM 217.5 (-115) 217.5 (-105)
02/26 09:14:03AM 220.5 (-108) 220.5 (-112) UN 55%, OV 50%

Lakers vs Suns Game Preview and Analysis

This is the fourth meeting between these teams. Phoenix has won two of the first three, but momentum has clearly shifted. The Suns have dropped four of their last five games and their offense has completely stalled.

Over the last five games, Phoenix is averaging just 94.8 points per game. One of those games even went to overtime, which makes that number worse. In their recent loss to Boston, the Suns were held to 35 points in the second half and shot just 36.7 percent from the field. They were also crushed on the glass, 61-34.

Over the last 10 games, Phoenix ranks 28th in offensive rating, 25th in assist rate and last in effective field goal percentage. That is not a slump. That is a broken offense.

The Lakers are not playing great basketball either. They went 4-4 straight-up and 3-5 against the spread during their recent homestand. This will be their first road game since February 3. Even so, they are healthier and more stable right now.

Phoenix is dealing with key absences, and the loss of scoring punch has clearly hurt. I am not eager to back either team in peak form, but the numbers point toward Los Angeles. If Phoenix cannot score, covering a mid-range spread becomes very difficult.

Key Injuries and Notes - LAL and PHX

  • Jordan Goodwin remains out for the Suns.
  • Dillon Brooks remains out for Phoenix.
  • Devin Booker remains out for the Suns.
  • Rui Hachimura is listed as questionable for the Lakers.
  • Phoenix has struggled badly on offense without Brooks and Booker.

Final Score Prediction

  • Lakers 109, Suns 101

ATS and Total Picks

  • Spread: Lakers -5.5
  • Total: Under 220.5
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