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Memphis Grizzlies vs New York Knicks Prediction and Picks - November 11, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 11/11/2025, 07:40 AM ET

Tuesday evening on the NBA hardwood, and we have a Memphis Grizzlies vs New York Knicks prediction ready to rock and roll. Memphis enters this contest off a 114-100 home loss to Oklahoma City, which dropped them to 4-7 on the year. New York is now 6-3 on the year and has won four in a row after destroying Brooklyn 134-98 on Sunday. The Knicks have won the last four games in this series. Read on to see our Grizzlies vs Knicks prediction.

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Grizzlies Off To A Slow Start

The Grizzlies come into Madison Square Garden searching for answers after a rough stretch that’s seen them drop five of their last six. Their most recent outing against Oklahoma City was a frustrating one, as they squandered an 11-point halftime lead and ultimately fell 114–100. Ja Morant has been the focal point of the conversation, struggling with efficiency from the floor and especially from deep, where he’s shooting under 15% on the season. Despite the slump, Memphis continues to lean on his ability to push tempo and create opportunities, hoping he can break out against a Knicks defense that has been stingy but vulnerable at times on the perimeter.

Jaren Jackson Jr. remains a key piece, giving Memphis a two-way presence who can stretch the floor offensively and protect the rim defensively. His 17-point, seven-rebound effort against the Thunder was solid, but the Grizzlies need him to be more consistent if they’re going to compete with teams like New York. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has provided veteran stability, and the team’s ball movement has been respectable, ranking near the top of the league in assists. Still, turnovers and fouls have been a recurring issue, often stalling momentum and putting them in difficult spots late in games.

Memphis knows this is a tough spot, facing a Knicks team that’s rolling at home, but they’ll look to lean on their rebounding and transition game to stay competitive. The Grizzlies have the athleticism to match New York’s pace, but it will require Morant finding his rhythm and Jackson asserting himself inside. If they can limit mistakes and get contributions from their supporting cast, Memphis has the potential to make this a closer contest than their recent form suggests.

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Knicks Crush The Nets At Home

The Knicks enter this matchup riding a four-game winning streak, capped by a dominant 134–98 victory over the Brooklyn Nets. That game showcased the depth and balance of Tom Thibodeau’s squad, with multiple players stepping up offensively and the team shooting nearly 46% from beyond the arc. Karl-Anthony Towns has been a force in the frontcourt, combining his scoring touch with rebounding presence, while Mikal Bridges and OG Anunoby have provided perimeter scoring and defensive versatility. Jalen Brunson continues to be the steady hand at point guard, orchestrating the offense and keeping the Knicks’ tempo under control.

New York’s offense has been humming, averaging nearly 129 points per game over their last five contests. Their three-point shooting has been particularly impressive, hitting over 40% in four of those games, which has opened up the floor for Towns and Mitchell Robinson to dominate inside. The Knicks’ ability to spread the floor and punish defenses from multiple spots makes them a tough matchup for Memphis, especially given the Grizzlies’ struggles defending the arc. Even with Jalen Williams sidelined due to injury, the rotation has looked sharp, with role players stepping in seamlessly to keep the momentum going.

Defensively, the Knicks have been solid, ranking among the league’s top units in points allowed per game. They’ve been aggressive on the glass, limiting second-chance opportunities, and their ability to force opponents into tough shots has fueled their transition game. Playing at home, where they’ve already built a strong record, New York will look to continue its hot shooting and disciplined defense. With confidence high and the Garden crowd behind them, the Knicks are well-positioned to extend their winning streak and keep climbing the Eastern Conference standings.

Memphis Grizzlies vs New York Knicks Pick

Grizzlies vs Knicks Spread Pick

  • Knicks -9.5 (2 Units)

Knicks -9.5 feels like the right side given how dominant New York has looked during their recent winning streak. Jalen Brunson has been in complete control of the offense, dictating tempo and creating efficient looks for teammates, while Karl-Anthony Towns has added a reliable inside-out scoring punch. The Knicks’ depth has been a major factor as well, with OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges providing two-way impact that makes them tough to match up against. At Madison Square Garden, where the energy has been electric, New York has consistently jumped on opponents early and forced them to play catch-up, a scenario that favors them covering a number like this.

On the other side, Memphis has struggled to find consistency, particularly with Ja Morant’s shooting woes and the team’s tendency to fade late in games. The Grizzlies’ defense hasn’t been sharp enough to slow down a Knicks squad that’s been hitting over 40% from three in recent outings, and their lack of reliable secondary scoring makes it difficult to keep pace. New York’s ability to dominate the glass and limit second-chance opportunities should further tilt things in their favor. With the Knicks firing on all cylinders and Memphis still searching for rhythm, laying the 9.5 points looks like a strong play in this spot.

Grizzlies vs Knicks Over/Under Pick

  • Under 234 (3 Units)

Under 234 looks like a reasonable angle here given the way both teams match up and the pace they’re likely to play at. The Knicks have been one of the league’s better defensive units, holding opponents to tough looks and limiting second-chance opportunities, while Memphis has struggled offensively with Ja Morant’s shooting slump and inconsistent scoring from the supporting cast. New York’s recent hot streak has featured efficient offense, but Tom Thibodeau’s teams traditionally slow the game down and lean on half-court execution. With the Grizzlies unlikely to keep up in a shootout and the Knicks’ defense dictating tempo, this rivalry clash has the makings of a game that stays below the number.

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