Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, November 5, 2025
Use Code SSWC In a Wednesday night non-conference matchup in the Mile High City, the Denver Nuggets host the Miami Heat. The Nuggets (4-2) have won four of their last five games after dropping their season opener and the Heat (4-3) had lost two in a row before a win in their last game. Let’s hit the floor in this detailed Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets prediction.
Struggling to pick winners in the NBA? We have the best NBA Predictions available.
Solid Shooting Leads to Heat Win
In their last game, the Heat were on the road in a 120-119 win over the L.A. Clippers, where they shot the rock well. While they allowed the Clippers to shoot 50% and 41.5% from 3-point land, they shot 54.2% and a sizzling 48% from deep. Bam Adebayo led the way with a double-double with 26 points and 10 rebounds, Norman Powell had 21 points, and Andrew Wiggins had 17 points. The Heat covered as a 7.5-point underdog after failing to cover the spread in their previous two games.
Early on this season, the Heat rank third in the league in scoring and tied for 14th in points allowed. Adebayo (22.4 ppg 9.1 rpg) has scored at least 25 points in three of the last four games where in which he had a double-double. Powell (23.3 ppg) had missed three games due to a groin injury before coming back in the last game. Jaime Jaquez Jr. (16.9 ppg) has been up and down as of late, as in two of the last three games he scored six points, while in two of the last four games he went for at least 28 points. Wiggins (16.3 ppg) has totaled 32 points in the last two games after totaling 45 in the two before that. On the season, the Heat are 2-3 on the road.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Injuries
- Kasparas Jakucionis – Out
- Tyler Herro – Out
Jokic Goes for Season High in Nuggets Win
The Nuggets were at home in their last game in a 130-120 win over the Sacramento Kings, where Nikola Jokic had a season high 34 points to go along with 14 rebounds. Denver got the win despite shooting a lower overall FG% (51.5% to 52.2%) and a lower 3-pt FG% (31.6% to 33.3%). Tim Hardaway Jr. and Bruce Brown combined for 45 points off the bench and Christian Braun had 21 points. The Nuggets failed to cover as an 11.5-point favorite, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games after doing so in three in a row.
Denver has had a solid balance ranking second in the league in scoring and ninth in opponents’ ppg. Jokic (22.7 ppg 13.2 rpg 11.3 apg) leads the league in assists and has had a triple-double in five of six games. Jamal Murray (24.2 ppg) has not shot the rock well in two of the last three games and in the last one had 15 points on 35.3% shooting. Aaron Gordon (19.8 ppg) had 20 points in the last game after only averaging 10.7 ppg in the previous three games. Braun (12.7 ppg) has scored at least 17 points in two of the last three games. On the season, the Nuggets are a perfect 3-0 at home.
Injuries
- None
Heat vs. Nuggets Pick
Spread Pick Heat vs. Nuggets
- Heat (+4 Units)
The Heat had lost two in a row before a win in their last game, and after losing their first game, the Nuggets have won four of five since. Miami has been playing well, even though they are still without their leading scorer last season in Tyler Herro, who is likely out several more weeks. While Denver is 3-0 at home, they did not face one team with a winning record in those wins. In terms of the Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Picks and Prediction, the Nuggets are at home, where they have not lost, but the Heat are coming off a solid road win, and while they may not get the win, they will keep it close and cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Heat vs. Nuggets
- Under (+4 Units)
The total has gone Over for the last two games for both of these teams, and that is the pick I am leaning towards in this game. These teams rank in the top four in the league in points per game, and they combined for 250 points in their last, respective, games. While Denver also ranks in the top five in defensive scoring, it did allow 124 points to their last opponent. The Heat played a good defensive team in the Clippers in their last game and still put up 120 points. Both teams will shoot the rock well, and in a higher-scoring affair, the Over is the way to go.
Never Tried Picks and Parlays? Now Is Your Chance
- Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code BUCK
- If the pick loses, we credit your account with 3 Flex Picks
- If the pick wins, we still give you 1 Flex Pick on the house
- Win or lose, you walk away ahead. One dollar. No catch.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
